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Will AI End Work as We Know It?

Imagine a world where you don’t have to work to survive. Not because jobs disappear, but because AI makes life so abundant that work becomes a choice—like picking up a hobby. Sound crazy? Let’s explore how AI might get us there, and why it’s not just another tool like the steam engine.

AI Isn’t Your Grandpa’s Steam Engine

People love to say, “Don’t worry about AI taking jobs—it’ll create new ones!” They point to history: the steam engine didn’t end work; it gave us factories and trains. Electricity didn’t leave us idle; it lit up cities and powered new industries. So, AI should follow suit, right? Not quite.

Here’s the difference: those old inventions were muscle upgrades. The steam engine hauled coal faster than horses. Electricity ran machines so we didn’t have to crank them by hand. But AI? It’s a brain upgrade. It doesn’t just lift stuff—it thinks, learns, and adapts on its own. While a steam engine needed us to steer it, AI can steer itself. That changes everything.

What’s AI Really Replacing?

Let’s break this down. Past tech replaced physical grunt work—shoveling, plowing, hammering. AI replaces thinking work—planning, problem-solving, even creating. It’s automating intelligence, the thing that makes us human and adaptable. If a machine can think for us, what’s left?

Here’s where it gets interesting. I’m not saying AI will leave us with nothing to do. People still play chess for fun, even though computers beat us at it. But there’s a big difference between choosing to work and having to work because food’s on the table. AI could flip that switch.

Why Work Exists (and Why It Might Not)

Think about why we work. It’s mostly scarcity. We need food, shelter, and heat, so we grow crops, build homes, and pay bills. Every tool we’ve ever made—axes, tractors, computers—tries to solve that scarcity problem. They save time (quantity) or make life better (quality). But here’s the twist: those tools still left us in charge because we had the smarts. AI takes that away by doing the smart stuff itself.

Picture this: AI designs a city, robots build it, and drones deliver your groceries—all without you lifting a finger. That’s a world of abundance, not scarcity. Work doesn’t vanish; it just stops being a must-do. You could still paint, teach, or invent—but because you want to, not because you’re forced to.

What an Abundant World Looks Like

So, what does “abundance” mean? Imagine a future where:

  • Everyone’s Basics Are Covered: Clean water, good food, and a safe home aren’t luxuries—they’re guaranteed.
  • Health Is a Given: Doctors, medicine, even therapy are there when you need them, no bill required.
  • The Planet Thrives: Solar power hums, trash gets recycled, and the air’s clean to breathe.
  • Learning Never Stops: Kids and adults alike can study anything, anytime, for free.

That’s just the start. Add safe streets, fair opportunities, and room for art or adventure, and you’ve got a world where survival’s off the to-do list. AI could make this real by pairing its brainpower with robots’ brawn—solving big problems like hunger or climate change faster than we ever could alone.

How AI Pulls This Off

Here’s the logic: abundance needs smart ideas and hard work. AI brings both. It’s not one super-brain—it’s a toolbox of skills that keeps growing. Think of it like evolution, but faster. Human brains got smarter through millions of years of trial and error. AI gets smarter because clever humans tweak it, no waiting required. As it scales up, it could handle everything from curing diseases to building eco-friendly cities.

Will it do all our thinking? No. You don’t need every human skill to solve scarcity—just enough. AI doesn’t have to write poetry to grow food or fix the grid. But it can do enough to free us from the grind.

The Catch: We’ll Need New Purpose

If AI delivers abundance, work won’t disappear—it’ll change. We won’t clock in to eat; we’ll chase what lights us up. Maybe you’ll teach kids, explore space, or just binge a new series without guilt. The trick? We’ll need to figure out what drives us when survival’s not the boss. That’s a challenge worth tackling.

The Big Picture

AI isn’t here to steal your job—it’s here to rewrite the rules. Past tech made work easier but kept us on the hook. AI could cut the line, trading a scarce world for an abundant one. We won’t stop working; we’ll just start choosing why. So, what’ll you do when the pressure’s off? That’s the future we’re building.

Dimensional Comparison Fault

Introduction: AI and the Jobs Debate

Just as past technologies like the steam engine and electricity sparked new jobs rather than eliminating them, AI is likely to create more opportunities for human labor, not replace it entirely. But is this comparison valid? Let’s explore.

Comparing AI to Past Technology

What is Previous Technology?

  • A tool that automates manual work. The steam engine primarily replaced human and animal labor in tasks requiring significant physical power or repetitive effort.
  • The tool cannot adjust without human intelligence.

What is AI?

  • Intelligence automation.
  • AI grows, learns, and adapts to change based on circumstances.

What is Being Compared?

  • AI to previous technology.
  • Comparing the functions of AI to technology.

Why the Comparison Fails

Assumptions Behind the Jobs Argument

  • Human work is required.
  • Eliminating jobs is undesirable.
  • Eliminating necessary work removes the capability to work. For example, people still play Chess even though AI Chess is superior. We do it for joy.

Argument for Rejecting the Jobs Argument

The dimension being compared is the "type" of capability being replaced. The previous technology capability type was "human labor." The AI capability type is "intelligence." Therefore, we are automating intelligence (the root of human adaptability) compared to automating physical tasks.

Supporting Arguments

  • All technology aims to cure experiential time scarcity in two units of measurement: quality and quantity.
  • Technology creates more work because humans have the advantage of intelligence. AI, which automates intelligence, removes this advantage and necessity.
  • AI will create a world of abundance.
  • I must distinguish between "optional" human labor caused by an abundant environment and "required" human labor caused by living in a scarce environment. This is another dimension of the "type" of labor.
  • AI does not need to replicate all human cognitive functions to eliminate the requirement for human labor. This is because no human labor requires all human cognitive abilities.
  • My argument does not say that humans will have nothing to do. Even work will be an available option to humans, but the key distinction is that it will be optional rather than necessary because of scarcity.
  • Humans will need to find new ways to collaborate and find purpose.

How AI Evolves

Argument for AI

Intelligence is not one thing. It is a collection of capabilities. As AI matures, more capabilities will be added through model scaling. This is a reasonable assumption based on evolutionary biology. Namely, human brains evolved through a brute-force search via natural selection. AI's are developed through the selective pressure of intelligence guided by intelligent humans without exogenous mortality concerns.

A Vision of Abundance

Defining a World of Abundance

  1. Universal Access to Basic Needs: Clean water, nutritious food, shelter, and air must be available to all, eliminating scarcity of essentials for survival.
  2. Robust Healthcare Systems: Preventive and curative healthcare, including mental health support, must be accessible, affordable, and effective, ensuring long life and well-being.
  3. Sustainable Energy and Resources: Abundant, renewable energy (e.g., solar, fusion) and efficient resource management (e.g., recycling, circular economies) to power society without depleting the planet.
  4. Equitable Economic Systems: A framework that ensures fair distribution of wealth, opportunities, and resources, reducing extreme inequality while rewarding innovation and effort.
  5. Global Education Access: Free, high-quality education at all levels, fostering critical thinking, creativity, and skills to empower individuals and solve collective challenges.
  6. Environmental Stability: A restored and balanced ecosystem, with climate change mitigated, biodiversity preserved, and pollution eliminated, supporting life indefinitely.
  7. Peace and Conflict Resolution: Mechanisms to prevent war, resolve disputes, and maintain social harmony, potentially through global cooperation and governance structures.
  8. Technological Advancement: Tools like AI, automation, and biotechnology deployed ethically to enhance productivity, health, and quality of life, not to exacerbate divides.
  9. Social Justice and Inclusion: Systems that eliminate discrimination (race, gender, etc.) and ensure all voices are heard, fostering a sense of belonging and purpose.
  10. Resilient Infrastructure: Reliable transportation, communication, and urban systems that withstand disasters and adapt to changing needs.
  11. Personal Freedom and Security: Protection of individual rights (speech, privacy, etc.) alongside safety from violence, crime, or oppression, balancing liberty and stability.
  12. Cultural and Creative Flourishing: Space for art, innovation, and diverse traditions to thrive, enriching human experience beyond mere survival.

An Argument that AI Leads to Abundance

Obtaining an abundant world depends on intelligent solutions through physical work. Since AI is automated intelligence, mature AI can cover the physical and intellectual work of arriving at abundance through automated intelligence and physical work through robots.

My Assumptions

  • Scarcity is the primary driver for required work. It is also worth considering that it functions to force cooperation among primarily self-interested humans.
  • Existing in a post-labor abundant world is desirable.

Conclusion

AI will not replace work. It will replace the "requirement" for work by ushering in an environment of abundance where we are free to choose what we do based on abundance rather than being forced to work to overcome a scarce environment.

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