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| { | |
| "protocol":"held-out-paired-c3-v27-minimal-system", | |
| "registered_content_at_utc":"2026-07-16T11:27:05Z", | |
| "status":"prepared before any V27 inference", | |
| "estimand":"compact C3 treatment package versus compact standardized neutral baseline under a minimal isolated agent system prompt", | |
| "objective":{"valid_pair_count":3,"valid_arm_count":6,"required_surface_coverage_lift_target":0.2,"blocking_false_claim_lift_max":0}, | |
| "held_out_design":{"private_cases_sha256":"a6a5bbaa85c09301a60417ddd313aa555c72795b751a76743c0ca21ac84c37fe","private_protocol_sha256":"9307d30f4232e7ba02e7a00bfdcd0ee2d25e5e33b7692efba3227a7c115c3a38","historical_or_exposed_case_reuse_count":0,"independent_source_review_completed":true,"public_project_specific_field_count":0}, | |
| "arms":{"agent":"claude-haiku-4-5 low","condition_order_seed":4271,"authorized_discovery_calls":5,"supervisor_observed_tool_event_ceiling":6,"max_total_tokens_per_arm":60000,"transport_output_byte_ceiling":262144,"answer_limit_words":350,"max_cost_usd_per_arm": |
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| { | |
| "protocol":"held-out-paired-c3-v26-transport-corrected", | |
| "registered_content_at_utc":"2026-07-16T11:21:37Z", | |
| "status":"prepared before any V26 inference", | |
| "estimand":"compact C3 treatment package versus compact standardized neutral baseline", | |
| "objective":{"valid_pair_count":3,"valid_arm_count":6,"required_surface_coverage_lift_target":0.2,"blocking_false_claim_lift_max":0}, | |
| "held_out_design":{"private_cases_sha256":"af381211044cf901fd455cb59d31ad59c4941e7576731dbac0fe9105afed5309","private_protocol_sha256":"a08f35246176c20755499b46ff104ea4da7e7e3d1187781037d2df6e99ab9aa3","historical_or_exposed_case_reuse_count":0,"independent_source_review_completed":true,"public_project_specific_field_count":0}, | |
| "arms":{"agent":"claude-haiku-4-5 low","condition_order_seed":4261,"authorized_discovery_calls":5,"supervisor_observed_tool_event_ceiling":6,"max_total_tokens_per_arm":70000,"transport_output_byte_ceiling":262144,"answer_limit_words":350,"max_cost_usd_per_arm":0.052,"timeout_seconds_per_arm":240,"res |
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| { | |
| "protocol":"held-out-paired-c3-v25-final-budget", | |
| "registered_content_at_utc":"2026-07-16T11:16:53Z", | |
| "status":"prepared before any V25 inference", | |
| "estimand":"compact C3 treatment package versus compact standardized neutral baseline", | |
| "objective":{"valid_pair_count":3,"valid_arm_count":6,"required_surface_coverage_lift_target":0.2,"blocking_false_claim_lift_max":0}, | |
| "held_out_design":{ | |
| "private_cases_sha256":"ee64d899503e787e38915dcd7ad99499d1bd99a27eafa3952970231b84918297", | |
| "private_protocol_sha256":"e7577d43e6da014fb13f8774024c4e88052c62aa6050a81c9695154ef01e6443", | |
| "historical_or_exposed_case_reuse_count":0, |
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| { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v24-opus-judged", | |
| "registered_content_at_utc": "2026-07-16T11:10:36Z", | |
| "status": "prepared before any V24 arm or judge inference", | |
| "estimand": "compact C3 treatment package versus compact standardized neutral baseline", | |
| "objective": { | |
| "valid_pair_count": 3, | |
| "valid_arm_count": 6, | |
| "required_surface_coverage_lift_target": 0.2, | |
| "blocking_false_claim_lift_max": 0 |
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| { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v23-micro", | |
| "registered_content_at_utc": "2026-07-16T11:02:43Z", | |
| "status": "prepared before any V23 arm or judge inference", | |
| "estimand": "compact C3 treatment package versus compact standardized neutral baseline", | |
| "objective": { | |
| "valid_pair_count": 3, | |
| "valid_arm_count": 6, | |
| "required_surface_coverage_lift_target": 0.2, | |
| "blocking_false_claim_lift_max": 0 |
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| { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v20", | |
| "registered_at_utc": "2026-07-16T09:24:16Z", | |
| "status": "prepared before any v20 inference", | |
| "supersedes": { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v19", | |
| "reason": "V19 stopped on its first invalid treatment arm. The task-level treatment text had competing manual and bootstrap entrypoints. V20 freezes a single bootstrap entrypoint.", | |
| "v19_valid_pair_count": 0, | |
| "v19_judge_count": 0, | |
| "v19_accounted_cost_usd": 0.272794 |
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| { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v19", | |
| "registered_at_utc": "2026-07-16T09:15:59Z", | |
| "status": "prepared before any v19 arm or judge inference", | |
| "objective": { | |
| "fresh_case_family_count": 3, | |
| "valid_pair_count": 3, | |
| "valid_arm_count": 6, | |
| "agent_model": "gpt-5.6-sol", | |
| "agent_effort": "low", |
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| { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v17", | |
| "registered_at_utc": "2026-07-16T08:00:35Z", | |
| "status": "registered after case-loader and screening-scorer preflight and before any v17 inference", | |
| "supersedes": { | |
| "protocols": ["held-out-paired-c3-v12", "held-out-paired-c3-v13", "held-out-paired-c3-v14", "held-out-paired-c3-v15", "held-out-paired-c3-v16"], | |
| "reason": "V12 and v13 stopped on schema checks. V14 and v15 stopped on execution ceilings without retained answers. V16 stopped after the legacy screening scorer rejected new rubric dimensions. V17 fixes only the non-primary scorer and retains the same held-out cases, rubric commitments, arm ceilings, conditions, judge rule, analysis, and seeds.", | |
| "cumulative_prior_cost_or_reserve_usd": 1.06912 | |
| }, | |
| "objective": { |
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| { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v16", | |
| "registered_at_utc": "2026-07-16T07:55:48Z", | |
| "status": "registered_before any v16 arm or judge inference", | |
| "supersedes": { | |
| "protocols": ["held-out-paired-c3-v12", "held-out-paired-c3-v13", "held-out-paired-c3-v14", "held-out-paired-c3-v15"], | |
| "reason": "V12 and v13 stopped before inference on schema checks. V14 produced no retained answer after a tool-call kill. V15 produced no retained answer after crossing its token wall. V16 changes only operational token and cost ceilings; held-out cases, private rubric commitments, conditions, judge rule, analysis, and seeds remain fixed.", | |
| "prior_successor_study_cost_usd": { | |
| "v14_conservative_reserve": 0.4, | |
| "v15_measured": 0.31912, |
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| { | |
| "protocol": "held-out-paired-c3-v15", | |
| "registered_at_utc": "2026-07-16T07:50:56Z", | |
| "status": "registered_after_case-loader preflight and before any v15 arm or judge inference", | |
| "supersedes": { | |
| "protocols": ["held-out-paired-c3-v12", "held-out-paired-c3-v13", "held-out-paired-c3-v14"], | |
| "reason": "V12 and v13 stopped before inference on harness schema validation. V14 produced no answer because its first control arm was killed after crossing an unrealistically low six-tool-call wall. V15 predeclares ten tool calls and 300000 tokens without changing cases, rubrics, conditions, or analysis.", | |
| "v12_v13_inference_call_count": 0, | |
| "v14_completed_answer_count": 0, | |
| "v14_protocol_deviation_count": 3, |
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