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{ | |
"key": "def_valueBasedHealthCare", | |
"title": "Value-Based Health Care", | |
"definition": "Value-based health care, which focuses on measuring health outcomes and costs", | |
"lines": [ | |
"3-4" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0068" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_healthOutcomes", | |
"title": "Health Outcomes", | |
"definition": "The delivery of health outcomes that matter to patients for a given cost along the full cycle of care.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"13-14", | |
"19-20" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_crisisOfValue", | |
"title": "Crisis of Value", | |
"definition": "A crisis of value, characterized by unsustainable growth in costs, substantial waste, and a growing disconnect between money spent and the health outcomes delivered to patients.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"53-55" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0330" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_crisisOfEvidence", | |
"title": "Crisis of Evidence", | |
"definition": "A parallel crisis of evidence, characterized by a growing disconnect between research and clinical practice.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"77-78" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0331" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_crisisOfPurpose", | |
"title": "Crisis of Purpose", | |
"definition": "A crisis of purpose, and it concerns the growing disconnect between the values that draw people to work in the health care sector and the reality of their experience working in it.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"103-106" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0332" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_simpleRules", | |
"title": "Simple Rules (System Science)", | |
"definition": "Define a limited but comprehensive set of principles... to reshape the organizational context so that it encourages innovation and value-enhancing behaviors while also ensuring that the system evolves in a desirable direction.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"130-134" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_selectionPrinciple", | |
"title": "Selection Principle (Evolutionary Biology)", | |
"definition": "What evolutionary biologists call the 'selection principle' against which the contribution and performance of all institutions in the system, as well as the effectiveness of health-system reform initiatives, are assessed and evaluated.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"173-177", | |
"207-212" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_systemLeadership", | |
"title": "System Leadership", | |
"definition": "They have to take collective responsibility to accelerate and manage the transition to a more sustainable value-based health system on which the success of their own institutions ultimately depends.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"325-329", | |
"336-341" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Value-Based Health Care Evolution", | |
"assumption": "Value-based health care has evolved from a concept to an international movement.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"8-10" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_valueBasedHealthCare" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Health Systems Face Crises", | |
"assumption": "All health systems, to one degree or another, confront three systemic crises.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"50-52" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3_valueCrisisEvidence", | |
"title": "Value Crisis Symptom", | |
"assumption": "The key symptom of this value crisis is the stubborn persistence of broad variations in the health outcomes delivered to patients across countries and across regions within countries, between different socioeconomic and racial groups, and even between different hospitals and clinical sites treating the same types of patients.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"66-74", | |
"84-92" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_crisisOfValue", | |
"def_healthOutcomes" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A4_evidenceCrisisRoot", | |
"title": "Evidence Crisis Root Cause", | |
"assumption": "The evidence crisis is a paradoxical product of the explosion of biomedical knowledge in recent decades and the resulting proliferation of new diagnostic and therapeutic tools.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"78-81" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_crisisOfEvidence" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A5_purposeCrisisCauses", | |
"title": "Purpose Crisis Causes", | |
"assumption": "Both the value crisis and the evidence crisis contribute to a third crisis, one that is simultaneously more subtle and yet perhaps even more corrosive... a crisis of purpose, and it concerns the growing disconnect between the values that draw people to work in the health care sector and the reality of their experience working in it.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"101-106" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_crisisOfValue", | |
"def_crisisOfEvidence", | |
"def_crisisOfPurpose" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": "ASS_0012" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_pandemicCatalyst", | |
"title": "Pandemic as Value-Based Innovation Catalyst", | |
"lemma": "The coronavirus pandemic is accelerating this transition... the sense of urgency created by the pandemic has been an extraordinary catalyst for value-based innovation.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_valueBasedHealthCare" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_systemwideApproachNecessary", | |
"title": "Systemwide Approach to Value-Based Health Care", | |
"lemma": "A holistic, systemwide approach is necessary because the efforts of any single organization to improve value delivered to patients will only be sustainable in the long term if all stakeholders in the industry align their efforts around this shared goal and if the various components of national health systems ... are designed explicitly to support value-based approaches to care.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_valueBasedHealthCare" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0000" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_addressingCrisesRequiresSystemResponse", | |
"title": "Addressing Crises Requires System Response", | |
"lemma": "Addressing these crises effectively requires a systemwide response.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0000" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_complexityResponseModel", | |
"title": "Managing Health System Complexity", | |
"lemma": "The way to effectively manage a complex adaptive system, however, is not by creating ever more complicated management systems. Rather, all stakeholders must work together to define a limited but comprehensive set of principles... to reshape the organizational context so that it encourages innovation and value-enhancing behaviors while also ensuring that the system evolves in a desirable direction.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_simpleRules" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_patientValueSelectionPrinciple", | |
"title": "Patient Value as Guiding Principle", | |
"lemma": "In a value-based health system, patient value becomes what evolutionary biologists call the 'selection principle' against which the contribution and performance of all institutions in the system, as well as the effectiveness of health-system reform initiatives, are assessed and evaluated.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_valueBasedHealthCare", | |
"def_selectionPrinciple" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_outcomesMeasurementCriticalData", | |
"title": "Outcomes Measurement Provides Critical Data", | |
"lemma": "The systematic measurement of health outcomes that matter to patients, as well as of the costs required to deliver those outcomes across the full cycle of care, provides the critical data that industry participants need to fulfill the mission of continuously improving patient value.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_healthOutcomes" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0001" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_progressUneven", | |
"title": "Value-Based Health Care Progress is Uneven", | |
"lemma": "Progress has been considerable, it has also been fragmented and uneven across countries and medical conditions and in the degree of engagement of various stakeholders in the health care sector.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_valueBasedHealthCare" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_governmentLeadershipRole", | |
"title": "Government Leadership in Value-Based Transformation", | |
"lemma": "Government needs to play a leadership role in the value-based transformation of the world's health systems.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_valueBasedHealthCare" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_mandatedOutcomesReportingMarketShape", | |
"title": "Mandatory Outcomes Reporting Shapes the Market", | |
"lemma": "Required reporting of standardized health outcomes data should be the equivalent in the health care sector of the routine financial disclosures that all public companies are required to make to financial regulatory authorities... it would be a fundamental market-shaping intervention that would orient competition in the industry around value delivered to patients, creating the right kind of selection pressure on providers and all other contributors in the system...", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_healthOutcomes", | |
"def_selectionPrinciple" | |
], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0001" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_paymentLinkedToOutcomes", | |
"title": "Linking Value-Based Payment to Health Outcomes", | |
"lemma": "Achieving these goals will require stronger linkages between new value-based payment models and systematic health outcomes measurement. Value-based health care is about delivering better health outcomes for the money spent; therefore, measuring and reporting health outcomes is a prerequisite for achieving sustainable value-based payment reform.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_valueBasedHealthCare", | |
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], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0002" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_coordinatedBudgetingNeeded", | |
"title": "Integrated Budgeting for Health and Welfare", | |
"lemma": "Governments should also pursue a more integrated approach to health and social welfare budgeting and planning... governments should strive to take a more holistic and integrated approach to budgeting for health care and social welfare.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_digitalInfrastructureLearning", | |
"title": "Digital Infrastructure for System Learning", | |
"lemma": "National health systems need a comprehensive agenda for creating the digital infrastructure that will harness next-generation digital technologies for systemwide organizational learning and the continuous improvement in the delivery of health outcomes that matter to patients.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0004" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_globalStandardsBenefit", | |
"title": "Global Digital Standards Benefit", | |
"lemma": "Creating global standards for a 21st-century digital health infrastructure is one area in which international cooperation could have a major payoff.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0004" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_investmentNeeded", | |
"title": "Significant Investment is Required", | |
"lemma": "Achieving these goals \u2014 institutionalizing outcomes measurement, aligning payment to health outcomes improvement, and creating a 21st-century digital health infrastructure \u2014 will require considerable investment over an extended period of time.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_systemLeadershipRequired", | |
"title": "System Leadership is Required for Transformation", | |
"lemma": "Health care leaders... need to look beyond the interests of their own organizations to become stewards of value-based transformation in the health care sector as a whole... We call this 'system leadership.'", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_systemLeadership", | |
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], | |
"article_id": "9b72d5ebf17648c3a68e95fa57f1542b", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0000" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_collectiveActionNeeded", | |
"title": "Collective Action for System Change", | |
"lemma": "No single institution can make value-based health care happen on its own. The deficiencies of global health systems are a systemic problem, and addressing them will require concerted collective action.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"title": "Future Focus on Value-Based Health Systems", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_livingDocuments", | |
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"title": "Multisig Approval Visibility", | |
"assumption": "Squads only shows raw instruction data for transactions like this one and allows simulation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"20-21" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Pre-Incident Spot Price", | |
"assumption": "Before the transaction was executed, the spot price of META was $567.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"25" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Public META Supply", | |
"assumption": "Previously, there was 13,622 META held in the hands of the public.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"30" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_incorrectTransactionQueued", | |
"title": "Incorrect Transaction Queued", | |
"lemma": "A multisig member inadvertently queued a transaction to sell 720 META at ~$61 / META.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_multisig" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0012" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_transactionNotCaught", | |
"title": "Transaction Not Caught", | |
"lemma": "The multisig signers did not catch the error in the queued transaction.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_multisig" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0012" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_transactionExecution", | |
"title": "Erroneous Transaction Executed", | |
"lemma": "The inadvertently queued transaction was executed.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A3", | |
"L_incorrectTransactionQueued", | |
"L_transactionNotCaught" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_multisig" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0012" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_priceDropArbitrage", | |
"title": "Post-Execution Price Drop", | |
"lemma": "Immediately after the transaction went through, arbitrage bots pushed the price down to $143.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A4", | |
"L_transactionExecution" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0013" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_priceRecovery", | |
"title": "Market Price Recovery", | |
"lemma": "People bought, and the market swiftly recovered, with the price returning to $486 within an hour.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"L_priceDropArbitrage" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0013" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_dilutionCalculation", | |
"title": "META Dilution", | |
"lemma": "Selling 720 META when 13,622 META was publicly held diluted META by ~5.3%.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A5", | |
"L_transactionExecution" | |
], | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0014" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Incident Summary", | |
"conclusion": "The multisig responsible for handling the META dutch auction inadvertently sold 720 META at below-market-prices on March 28th at ~15:00 UTC, resulting in a temporary price drop and lasting dilution.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_incorrectTransactionQueued", | |
"L_transactionNotCaught", | |
"L_transactionExecution", | |
"L_priceDropArbitrage", | |
"L_priceRecovery" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3", | |
"A4" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_multisig" | |
], | |
"key": "C68", | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Quantification of Dilution", | |
"conclusion": "The incident corresponds to 5.3% dilution of the META token.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_dilutionCalculation" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A5", | |
"L_transactionExecution" | |
], | |
"key": "C69", | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Preventative Measures", | |
"conclusion": "A process is being put in place, including stricter protocols for high-value multisigs and reduced dependence on multisigs where smart contracts can function, to prevent similar incidents.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [], | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_multisig" | |
], | |
"key": "C70", | |
"article_id": "6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-6a0d7811fc4c4436b7d94b4f8fc9ef5b.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_investmentProposal", | |
"title": "Investment Proposal", | |
"definition": "Investment proposals should be crafted similar to an investment memo. The proposal creator should think of themselves as an analyst/associate pitching an investment to a PM (portfolio manager) or GP (general partner) of a fund.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-3" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Simplicity is Key", | |
"assumption": "When crafting proposals for mtnCapital, keep it simple and focused. Avoid overcomplicating things, often, the best theses and risks are straightforward.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"5-6" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Conciseness Forces Clarity", | |
"assumption": "Staying concise forces clarity and helps the DAO make better decisions.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"8" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Comprehensive View Required", | |
"assumption": "This suggested structure provides a comprehensive view of the opportunity and ensures that DAO participants have all the necessary information to evaluate the investment thoroughly.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"10-11" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A4_Adaptability", | |
"title": "Structure Flexibility", | |
"assumption": "General structure and points will shift and may not be applicable depending on private round, OTC, or liquid investment proposal.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"13-14" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_clearAndDigestibleProposalsAreBest", | |
"title": "Clear and Digestible Proposals are Best", | |
"lemma": "Proposals should be clear and digestible, with a max length of 2-3 pages (excluding images, diagrams, tables). Anything longer risks muddling the key points.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"lines": [ | |
"7-8" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5d7a18384fd649799dfccc82715f80fe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_disruption", | |
"title": "Disruption (Christensen)", | |
"definition": "the process by which new entrants target an overserved market with an inferior, but \u201cgood-enough\" product, then relentlessly improve the performance of the product and ultimately challenge the incumbents.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"33-37" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_hollywood", | |
"title": "Hollywood (Proxy)", | |
"definition": "high-quality, professional video content creation", | |
"lines": [ | |
"73-75" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_socialVideo", | |
"title": "Social Video", | |
"definition": "Short form (or \"social video\" or \"user generated content\") is effectively already \"infinite.\"", | |
"lines": [ | |
"81-83" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0008" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_quality", | |
"title": "Quality (JTBD Definition)", | |
"definition": "for each consumer, it is the relative weighting of each of these jobs.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"155-157" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0337" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_jobToBEDone", | |
"title": "Job to be Done (JTBD)", | |
"definition": "consumers \u201chire\u201d a product or service to do a \"job\" in their life... They \"fire\" that product and \"hire\" a different one when the benefits of the new product offset the switching costs.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"147-152" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "New Technologies Democratize Content Creation", | |
"assumption": "Four technologies, most notably virtual production and AI, are poised to democratize high quality video content creation over the next 5-10 years.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"19-22" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Content Creation will be Disrupted", | |
"assumption": "the next decade will be defined by the disruption of content creation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"23-24" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_disruption" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3_JTBD", | |
"title": "Jobs Theory is Relevant", | |
"assumption": "consumers \"hire\" a product or service to do a \"job\" in their life.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"147-149" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_jobToBEDone" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_socialVideoIsDisruptingHollywood", | |
"title": "Social Video is Already Disrupting Hollywood", | |
"lemma": "Hollywood is already in the early stages of being disrupted by social video.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_disruption", | |
"def_hollywood", | |
"def_socialVideo" | |
], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_aiAssistedContentStartsInferior", | |
"title": "AI-Assisted Content Starts Inferior", | |
"lemma": "At first, AI-assisted content will be inferior\u2014That's How Disruption Works.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0015" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_toolsIncreaseCreatorProductivity", | |
"title": "AI Tools Increase Creator Productivity", | |
"lemma": "AI-assisted tools will enable creators to do a lot more with a lot fewer people at a much lower cost.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_toolsAvailableToEveryone", | |
"title": "AI Tools Are Widely Available", | |
"lemma": "These tools are available to Hollywood\u2014and to everyone else too.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0016" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_lowerCostsHurtIncumbentsMore", | |
"title": "Lower Production Costs Benefit Everyone", | |
"lemma": "While these tools may benefit Hollywood, they will likely hurt more than they help.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0017" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_hollywoodStrugglesToAdoptNewTech", | |
"title": "Hollywood Struggles with New Tech Adoption", | |
"lemma": "Hollywood will struggle to adopt many of these new tools quickly because of the complex ecosystem of talent, agencies, guilds and trades in which the studios operate.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [], | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_speedExtentFactors", | |
"title": "Factors Determining Disruption Speed/Extent", | |
"lemma": "Common sense suggests [factors determining speed and extent of disruption] include: the hurdles for the new entrant to move upmarket; the hurdles to consumer adoption of the new entrant's product; the degree to which the new entrant changes consumers' definition of quality; the size and persistence of the high end of the market; and the ease for the incumbent to replicate the new entrant's business model.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_disruption", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Hollywood is Highly Vulnerable to Disruption", | |
"conclusion": "Applying the framework also shows why Hollywood is highly vulnerable.", | |
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"L_socialVideoIsDisruptingHollywood", | |
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"L_toolsAvailableToEveryone", | |
"L_lowerCostsHurtIncumbentsMore", | |
"L_hollywoodStrugglesToAdoptNewTech", | |
"L_speedExtentFactors" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3_JTBD" | |
], | |
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"def_disruption", | |
"def_hollywood", | |
"def_socialVideo", | |
"def_quality", | |
"def_jobToBEDone" | |
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"key": "C92", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Hollywood May Retreat to a Smaller Version", | |
"conclusion": "Hollywood is hardly dead, but it risks retreating into a smaller version of itself.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [], | |
"key": "C93", | |
"article_id": "febc69669bf14d929a4e014d996d2afe", | |
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"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Text must be provided", | |
"assumption": "There is text to process.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-1" | |
], | |
"article_id": "ec0032f0561844689b4dc00b3eef9286", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-ec0032f0561844689b4dc00b3eef9286.md?alt=media", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Cannot Extract Structure", | |
"conclusion": "Due to a lack of input text, no definitions, assumptions, lemmas, or conclusions can be extracted.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"key": "C95", | |
"article_id": "ec0032f0561844689b4dc00b3eef9286", | |
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"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_futarchy", | |
"title": "Market-Based Governance System", | |
"definition": "a market-based governance system invented by economist Robin Hanson", | |
"lines": [ | |
"10-11" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0033" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_metaDAO", | |
"title": "Meta-DAO", | |
"definition": "a Decentralized Autonomous Organization where central decisions are made by futarchy.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"8-10" | |
], | |
"article_id": "8209ca75e5034bacaa37f98ffce76cb0", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0000" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Meta-DAO Decentralization", | |
"conclusion": "The Meta-DAO has decentralized.", | |
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"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_metaDAO" | |
], | |
"key": "C98", | |
"article_id": "8209ca75e5034bacaa37f98ffce76cb0", | |
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"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_quality", | |
"title": "Definition of Quality", | |
"definition": "quality is the weighted combination of attributes one considers when choosing between identically-priced choices.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"61-62" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0337" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_consumerSurplus", | |
"title": "Definition of Consumer Surplus", | |
"definition": "Consumer surplus is the difference between what consumers would be willing to pay and the market clearing price", | |
"lines": [ | |
"46-47" | |
], | |
"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_producerSurplus", | |
"title": "Definition of Producer Surplus", | |
"definition": "producer surplus is the difference between the price at which producers would be willing to supply and the market clearing price", | |
"lines": [ | |
"47-48" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_deadWeightLoss", | |
"title": "Definition of Dead Weight Loss", | |
"definition": "dead weight loss is the loss to society from market inefficiency (i.e., units that could have been bought/sold but are not).", | |
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"48-49" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_fanchiseManagement", | |
"title": "Definition of Fanchise Management", | |
"definition": "Fanchise management is a much more purposeful approach to cultivating fandoms and developing community around them.", | |
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"136-137" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A1_techBlurringQuality", | |
"title": "Future Technologies Will Blur Quality Distinction", | |
"assumption": "Over the next five-seven years several technologies, particularly AI (including GenAI), will further blur the quality distinction between professionally-produced ... content and creator or independent content.", | |
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"12-15" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2_resultIsInfiniteQuality", | |
"title": "Blurring Quality Leads to Infinite Quality", | |
"assumption": "the quality distinction will be blurred, resulting in effectively 'infinite' quality.", | |
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"13-15" | |
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"def_quality" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3_valueAccruesToScarce", | |
"title": "Value Accrues to Scarce Resources", | |
"assumption": "Value accrues to whomever controls the relatively scarce resource(s).", | |
"lines": [ | |
"31-32" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4_valueShiftsWithScarcity", | |
"title": "Value Shifts with Changing Scarcity", | |
"assumption": "When the relative abundance and scarcity of resources changes, value shifts along the value chain.", | |
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"32-33" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A5_demandForHits", | |
"title": "Consumer Demand for Hits as Filters", | |
"assumption": "When confronted with so much choice, consumers need filters. One of those filters is popularity, because people assume that other people's choices contain valuable information.", | |
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"102-105" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A6_marketingIsHarder", | |
"title": "Marketing Becomes More Difficult", | |
"assumption": "marketing also gets tougher... there is much more competition for users' attention; fragmentation makes it harder to reach consumers using traditional mass media; the consumer decision journey becomes more complex, as does attribution; the rising ability to segment and target consumers raises the bar (and the cost) for everyone; and you need to monitor and, if possible, dynamically influence or counter, the organic signals arising from the network itself.", | |
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"110-117" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_independentContentVolume", | |
"title": "Vast Volume of Independent Content", | |
"lemma": "A vast amount of content is uploaded to YouTube daily, far exceeding Hollywood's annual output.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0302" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_sufficientCompetitiveContent", | |
"title": "Sufficient Independent Content is Competitive", | |
"lemma": "Even a tiny percentage of independent content is of sufficient quality to compete with Hollywood content for consumers.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_aiDemocratizesProduction", | |
"title": "AI Democratizes High Production Values", | |
"lemma": "AI is democratizing high quality production, dramatically reducing production costs.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_qualityDefinitionShifting", | |
"title": "Consumer Definition of Quality is Shifting", | |
"lemma": "Many consumers' definition of quality is shifting away from high production values and incorporating new attributes introduced by social video.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_socialVideoImpactsQuality", | |
"title": "Social Video Changes Quality Attributes", | |
"lemma": "Social video has introduced new attributes to many consumers' quality algorithms, such as accessibility, digestibility, authenticity, virality, and relevance to sub-community.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_dataShowsQualityShift", | |
"title": "Data Illustrates Changing Quality Definition", | |
"lemma": "Data on YouTube viewership on TVs demonstrates that consumers consider non-traditional content (like YouTube videos) to be high quality for traditional use cases (watching on a TV).", | |
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"def_quality" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_infiniteChoiceIncreases", | |
"title": "Infinite Choice Will Increase", | |
"lemma": "With abundant quality and decreasing production costs, consumer viewing choices will become 'more infinite'.", | |
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"A1_techBlurringQuality", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_informationCascadesAmplifyHits", | |
"title": "Information Cascades Amplify Hits", | |
"lemma": "Popularity acts as a filter through information cascades, creating a powerful positive feedback loop that amplifies hits.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_powerLawsForCulture", | |
"title": "Power Laws Describe Popularity Distribution", | |
"lemma": "Across media, popularity distributions exhibit power law-like patterns: a few huge hits and a massively long tail of misses.", | |
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"A5_demandForHits", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_marketingBecomesMoreImportant", | |
"title": "Marketing Becomes More Important", | |
"lemma": "Given abundant quality, marketing becomes more important for content to stand out.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_quality" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_platformsBenefitFromCuration", | |
"title": "Platforms Benefit from Curation", | |
"lemma": "Platforms that control distribution and utilize recommendation systems benefit by acting as a filter for consumers.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_limitsToRecommendationInterest", | |
"title": "Limits to Recommendation Engine Reliance", | |
"lemma": "Consumer reliance on recommendation engines is inversely correlated with the opportunity cost of consumption, and some consumers prefer manual curation or word-of-mouth.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [], | |
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"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_futureAIAgentsCuration", | |
"title": "Future AI Agents for Curation", | |
"lemma": "AI agents with access to comprehensive behavioral data across platforms and IRL may eventually supplant current recommendation algorithms.", | |
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"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_fandomIsAFilter", | |
"title": "Fandom and Community as a Filter", | |
"lemma": "Fandom and community serve as a filter for consumers choosing content due to the deep-seated need for belonging.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0026" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_loyalFanBaseMoreImportant", | |
"title": "Engaged Fan Base Increasingly Important", | |
"lemma": "In the future, having an engaged, loyal fan base will be more important than ever as the volume of quality content explodes.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_quality" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0026" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_premiumBrandsAndIPAreFilters", | |
"title": "Premium Brands and IP as Filters", | |
"lemma": "Diehard and casual fans will lean on well-known brands and IP as another filter to cut through clutter due to the mere exposure effect.", | |
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"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_lowerCostsReduceIPRisk", | |
"title": "Lower Costs Reduce IP Revitalization Risk", | |
"lemma": "With lower production costs, it becomes less risky to resuscitate dormant or underleveraged IP.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0415" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_librariesRetainValue", | |
"title": "Major Media Libraries Retain Value", | |
"lemma": "Major media companies have enormous content libraries that will retain value despite the abundance of new content.", | |
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"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0030" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_unlockingLibraryValueRequiresEffort", | |
"title": "Unlocking Library Value Requires Management", | |
"lemma": "Unlocking the value of large content libraries requires addressing management issues related to content identification, rights, and monetization.", | |
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"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0031" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_irlExperiencesValuable", | |
"title": "IRL Experiences Become More Valuable", | |
"lemma": "When information goods get cheaper, in-real-life experiences become more expensive and valuable because they offer benefits not available at home.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0028" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_irlExperiencesBeneficiary", | |
"title": "Beneficiary of IRL Experiences", | |
"lemma": "Disney and NBCUniversal are best positioned to create live experiences around their IP, benefiting from the value of IRL experiences.", | |
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"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0028" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_picksAndShovelsUncertain", | |
"title": "Value of Picks and Shovels is Uncertain", | |
"lemma": "It is uncertain if companies providing tools for democratized content production (picks and shovels) can establish competitive moats.", | |
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"article_id": "f48d1d7b16ae408b98bbade7f89fa1c3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_bigMediaInvestingAreas", | |
"title": "Big Media Investment Areas", | |
"lemma": "Big media companies should invest in premium IP and brands, marketing science, library rights management and monetization, and fanchise management.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_fanchiseManagement" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0031" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_fanchiseManagementStack", | |
"title": "Fanchise Management Activities", | |
"lemma": "Fanchise management involves a stack of capabilities including good content, content extensions, loyalty/engagement incentives, community tooling, co-creation, and co-ownership.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_fanchiseManagement" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0027" | |
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{ | |
"title": "Scarce Resources When Quality is Abundant", | |
"conclusion": "When quality becomes abundant due to technology and shifting consumer definitions, the scarce (and thus more valuable) resources will be consumer time and attention, hits, marketing prowess, curation, fandom and community, IRL experiences, premium IP, library, and potentially certain picks and shovels.", | |
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"L_premiumBrandsAndIPAreFilters", | |
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"L_picksAndShovelsUncertain" | |
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"def_quality", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Big Media Needs to Invest in Scarce Resources", | |
"conclusion": "Big media companies should invest in the scarce resources they can access, such as premium IP, marketing science, library management, and fanchise management, to prepare for the future of abundant quality.", | |
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"A4_valueShiftsWithScarcity" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_grandStrategy", | |
"title": "Grand Strategy", | |
"definition": "the art of aligning potentially unlimited aspirations with necessarily limited capabilities", | |
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"1" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_livingAgent", | |
"title": "Living Agent", | |
"definition": "a network of specialized agents, each focused on crucial domains like healthcare, energy, and space technology, developing deep expertise in their sector while maintaining their own evolving worldview", | |
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"12-15" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0007" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_markovBlankets", | |
"title": "Markov Blankets", | |
"definition": "boundaries of focus and expertise around specialized agents, allowing them to concentrate deeply on specific challenges while remaining part of a coherent whole", | |
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"18-19" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0243" | |
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"key": "def_globalConsciousness", | |
"title": "Global Consciousness", | |
"definition": "strategic oversight provided by the network's emergent collective intelligence, ensuring individual initiatives build toward the larger vision and identifying unexpected synergies", | |
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"24-28" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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"key": "def_livingCapital", | |
"title": "Living Capital", | |
"definition": "future development that enables the expansion of collective action capacity by directing investment toward promising early-stage technologies and companies aligned with the vision", | |
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"31-35" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0010" | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Information Limitations in Strategic Domains", | |
"assumption": "Complete information is unavailable, fixed planning is impossible, and the environment changes reflexively in response to actions taken in domains requiring grand strategy.", | |
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"2-4" | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Proximate Objectives as Grand Strategy Elements", | |
"assumption": "Grand strategy is pursued through setting and achieving proximate objectives.", | |
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"6-7" | |
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"def_grandStrategy" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Collective Intelligence Emergence", | |
"assumption": "A global consciousness can emerge from the interaction of a network's collective intelligence.", | |
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"26-27" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Community Contribution Value", | |
"assumption": "Domain experts contributing their knowledge and insights helps shape specialized agent worldviews and overall direction.", | |
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"28-30" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Investment Accelerates Progress", | |
"assumption": "Directing investment toward promising technologies and companies accelerates progress in crucial domains.", | |
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"32-35" | |
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"def_livingCapital" | |
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"key": "L_proximateObjectivesBuildCapabilities", | |
"title": "Proximate Objectives Build Capabilities", | |
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"A2" | |
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"def_livingAgent", | |
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"groupId": "LEM_0045" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_iterativeProgressConnectsRealityAspiration", | |
"title": "Iterative Progress Connects Reality and Aspiration", | |
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"A1", | |
"A2" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0046" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_specializationLeveragesExpertise", | |
"title": "Specialization Leverages Expertise", | |
"lemma": "Separating specialized agents by Markov blankets enables deep concentration on specific challenges.", | |
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"A4" | |
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"def_livingAgent", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_oversightEnsuresCohesion", | |
"title": "Oversight Ensures Cohesion", | |
"lemma": "The global consciousness provides strategic oversight, ensuring individual initiatives build toward the larger vision and identifying unexpected synergies.", | |
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"A3", | |
"A4" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_livingCapitalCreatesFeedbackLoops", | |
"title": "Living Capital Creates Positive Feedback Loops", | |
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"A5" | |
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"188-188" | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_genAIcreatesNewInformation", | |
"title": "GenAI Creates New Information", | |
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"def_data", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0066" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_genAIisSubSymbolic", | |
"title": "GenAI is Sub-symbolic AI", | |
"lemma": "Pretty much everything in the headlines today...is sub-symbolic.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_subSymbolicAI" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0067" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_subSymbolicIsOpaque", | |
"title": "Sub-symbolic Systems are Opaque", | |
"lemma": "even to leading researchers, how these [sub-symbolic] models work or why they do what they do is not entirely clear.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_subSymbolicAI" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0068" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_genAISuitableForLowStakesCreative", | |
"title": "GenAI Suited for Conceptual, Low-Stakes, Iterative Tasks", | |
"lemma": "at least right now, GenAI is well suited... for which many iterations, with human feedback at each step, are preferable to one right answer...Those that benefit from conceptual understanding...Those that benefit from a degree of randomness.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3_trainingLimitations", | |
"A4_abstractionLimitations", | |
"A5_lackTransparency", | |
"A6_difficultControl" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0069" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_genAINotSuitableForHighStakesPrecise", | |
"title": "GenAI Not Suited for High-Stakes, Precise Tasks", | |
"lemma": "at least right now, GenAI is...not useful...for...those that require a definitive, precise answer...High-stakes environments in which the output is hard or time-consuming for humans to verify.", | |
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"A1", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_historicalRejectionOfTechnology", | |
"title": "Creatives Have Historically Resisted New Technologies", | |
"lemma": "Creatives have a long history of rejecting new technologies as unnatural, threatening and unartistic that later become integral.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0070" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "GenAI is Foremost a Creative Tool", | |
"conclusion": "GenAI is foremost a creative tool.", | |
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"L_genAISuitableForLowStakesCreative", | |
"L_genAINotSuitableForHighStakesPrecise", | |
"L_genAIcreatesNewInformation", | |
"L_genAIisSubSymbolic", | |
"L_subSymbolicIsOpaque" | |
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"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3_trainingLimitations", | |
"A4_abstractionLimitations", | |
"A5_lackTransparency", | |
"A6_difficultControl" | |
], | |
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{ | |
"title": "Progressive Creatives Should Use GenAI", | |
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"L_historicalRejectionOfTechnology" | |
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"A7_technologyCannotBeStopped" | |
], | |
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"key": "C218", | |
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"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_rewards", | |
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], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0018" | |
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{ | |
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"definition": "Standing built on LivingIP through correct votes and approved content.", | |
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"1-1" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_trustScore", | |
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{ | |
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"23-23" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_contribution", | |
"title": "Contribution", | |
"definition": "Actions taken by users on LivingIP, including tagging, voting, drafting, adding documents, and proposing improvements.", | |
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"4-7", | |
"9-10", | |
"17-19", | |
"23-23", | |
"31-32" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0018" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_expertiseRanking", | |
"title": "Expertise Ranking", | |
"definition": "Ranking built on LivingIP through verified contributions.", | |
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"20-20", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Contributions are Possible", | |
"assumption": "Users can make contributions to the LivingIP network.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-1", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2_validationMechanismExists", | |
"title": "Validation Mechanism Exists", | |
"assumption": "There is a mechanism to validate contributions and votes.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"5-5", | |
"24-24", | |
"31-31" | |
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"def_voting" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": "ASS_0006" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3_trackingExists", | |
"title": "Tracking Exists", | |
"assumption": "Contributions and votes are tracked on LivingIP.", | |
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"23-23" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingIP" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4_weightedVoting", | |
"title": "Weighted Voting", | |
"assumption": "Community validation uses weighted voting.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"24-24", | |
"15-15" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_voting" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A5_correctnessDetermined", | |
"title": "Correctness Can Be Determined", | |
"assumption": "The correctness of votes and content can be determined.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"10-11", | |
"25-26" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_voting" | |
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"groupId": "ASS_0006" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_correctVotesEarn", | |
"title": "Correct Votes Earn Points", | |
"lemma": "Correct votes earn points.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2_validationMechanismExists", | |
"A3_trackingExists", | |
"A5_correctnessDetermined" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_voting", | |
"def_rewards" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0005" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_approvedContentEarns", | |
"title": "Approved Content Earns Points", | |
"lemma": "Approved content earns points.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2_validationMechanismExists", | |
"A3_trackingExists" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_contribution", | |
"def_rewards" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_correctActionsBuildReputation", | |
"title": "Correct Actions Build Reputation", | |
"lemma": "Correct votes and approved content build reputation.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A2_validationMechanismExists", | |
"A3_trackingExists", | |
"A5_correctnessDetermined" | |
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"def_voting", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_incorrectActionsDamageReputation", | |
"title": "Incorrect Actions Damage Reputation", | |
"lemma": "Bad votes and false information hurt reputation.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A2_validationMechanismExists", | |
"A3_trackingExists", | |
"A5_correctnessDetermined" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_voting", | |
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], | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_votingHistoryCreatesTrustScore", | |
"title": "Voting History Creates Trust Score", | |
"lemma": "Your voting history creates your trust score.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A3_trackingExists" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_voting", | |
"def_trustScore", | |
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], | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_reputationIncreasesInfluence", | |
"title": "Reputation Increases Influence", | |
"lemma": "Your influence grows with your track record (reputation, voting history).", | |
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"A1", | |
"A3_trackingExists", | |
"A4_weightedVoting" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_reputation", | |
"def_trustScore", | |
"def_voting" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_verifiedContributionsBuildExpertiseRanking", | |
"title": "Verified Contributions Build Expertise Ranking", | |
"lemma": "Verified contributions build your expertise banking.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2_validationMechanismExists", | |
"A3_trackingExists" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_contribution", | |
"def_expertiseRanking" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Earning Rewards and Reputation on LivingIP", | |
"conclusion": "Every contribution to our knowledge network earns you both rewards and reputation.", | |
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"L_correctVotesEarn", | |
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], | |
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"A1", | |
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"A3_trackingExists", | |
"A5_correctnessDetermined" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"title": "Groundbreaking Decentralized Finance Experiment", | |
"conclusion": "As the first futarchy-governed capital allocator, mtnCapital represents a groundbreaking experiment in decentralized financial decision-making.", | |
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"A4", | |
"A6" | |
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{ | |
"title": "Potential to Become Leading Solana Capital Allocator", | |
"conclusion": "With the strong flywheels mtnDAO has developed, particularly its active community, mtnCapital has the potential to become a leading capital allocator in the Solana ecosystem.", | |
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"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A13", | |
"A1", | |
"A14", | |
"A6" | |
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"article_id": "cddae8ce6d2b46d49104ede0ca67eca1", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Support Growth Through Active Governance", | |
"conclusion": "mtnCapital aims to lead not only in capital allocation and treasury returns but also in supporting the growth of Solana ecosystem companies through active governance driven by its engaged community.", | |
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"L_openProposalSubmission", | |
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"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A13", | |
"A14", | |
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"article_id": "cddae8ce6d2b46d49104ede0ca67eca1", | |
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"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_grandStrategy", | |
"title": "Grand Strategy", | |
"definition": "aligning potentially unlimited aspirations with necessarily limited capabilities.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"12-12" | |
], | |
"article_id": "86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_postScarcityMultiplanetaryCivilization", | |
"title": "Post-Scarcity Multiplanetary Civilization", | |
"definition": "a concrete, achievable goal that opens unlimited possibilities for human expansion and discovery... Once we establish self-sufficient colonies beyond Earth, these risks cease to be existential... using technological abundance for the advancement of our entire species, not just an ultra-wealthy few.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"33-36", | |
"40-42", | |
"69-71" | |
], | |
"article_id": "86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0022" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_currentConflicts", | |
"title": "Current Conflicts", | |
"definition": "tribal conflicts, short-term thinking, and competing visions of humanity's future. Climate change, nuclear threats, and emerging technologies demand global cooperation, yet we're stuck in cycles of conflict.", | |
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"1-4" | |
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"article_id": "86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_wealthConcentration", | |
"title": "Wealth Concentration", | |
"definition": "without clear direction, this wealth will likely concentrate in ways that harm humanity's progress... Producing luxury goods for the 0.001% becomes more profitable than developing mass-market solutions that could transform society.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"47-49", | |
"54-57" | |
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"article_id": "86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb.md?alt=media", | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Humanity Lacks Shared Long-Term Goal", | |
"assumption": "We lack a shared long-term goal that transcends our current divisions.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"5-6" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Shared Goals Transform Conflicts", | |
"assumption": "When humans share a long-term goal, conflicts transform from fights for survival into debates about methods... This shifts us from zero-sum games to positive-sum collaboration.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"18-20", | |
"22-23" | |
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"article_id": "86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Threats to Earth-Bound Humanity", | |
"assumption": "While confined to Earth, we remain vulnerable to asteroid impacts, supervolcanoes, and global warming. These threats could wipe out our species in a single blow.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"38-39" | |
], | |
"article_id": "86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Market Distortion from Wealth Concentration", | |
"assumption": "When wealth concentrates to extreme levels, markets become distorted.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"57-58" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Current Moment is Critical", | |
"assumption": "The current moment is critical. We're approaching technological thresholds that could either lock us into dystopian futures or launch us toward the stars.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"74-75" | |
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"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Shared Stories Drive Cooperation", | |
"assumption": "Throughout history, shared stories have been the foundation of human cooperation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"90-91" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_needForGrandStrategy", | |
"title": "Need for Grand Strategy", | |
"lemma": "For humanity to flourish, we need a grand strategy built around a common goal.", | |
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"A1" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0084" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_goalProperties", | |
"title": "Properties of an Effective Goal", | |
"lemma": "This goal must be far enough in the future to transcend current conflicts, yet concrete enough to guide present actions.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0084" | |
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"key": "L_inadequacyOfOtherGoals", | |
"title": "Limitations of Alternative Goals", | |
"lemma": "Many noble goals like 'world peace' or 'end poverty' are too immediate and too abstract... Other goals like 'happiness' or 'human flourishing' are too vague to guide action.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_multiplanetaryGoalBenefits", | |
"title": "Benefits of Multiplanetary Goal", | |
"lemma": "Establishing self-sufficient colonies beyond Earth means existential risks cease to exist.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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"key": "L_wealthConcentrationProblem", | |
"title": "Problem of Wealth Concentration", | |
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"key": "L_postScarcityAddressesWealth", | |
"title": "Post-Scarcity Addresses Wealth", | |
"lemma": "Making post-scarcity part of our goal commits to using technological abundance for the advancement of the entire species, not just an ultra-wealthy few.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0085" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_goalTransformsConflicts", | |
"title": "Goal Transforms Conflicts", | |
"lemma": "Adopting this goal changes current conflicts into problem-solving debates.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_goalInspiresCooperation", | |
"title": "Goal Inspires Cooperation", | |
"lemma": "The story of becoming a spacefaring civilization that has conquered scarcity is one that can inspire billions to work together.", | |
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"A6" | |
], | |
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"key": "L_goalTranscendenceAndConcreteness", | |
"title": "Goal is Transcendent and Concrete", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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"title": "End Global Conflict Through Shared Goal", | |
"conclusion": "Adopting the concrete, long-term goal of a post-scarcity multiplanetary civilization is the best way to overcome global conflicts, address existential risks, and ensure technological wealth benefits all of humanity.", | |
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"L_goalInspiresCooperation", | |
"L_goalTranscendenceAndConcreteness" | |
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"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3", | |
"A4", | |
"A5", | |
"A6" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_grandStrategy", | |
"def_postScarcityMultiplanetaryCivilization", | |
"def_currentConflicts", | |
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"article_id": "86943b3dd9f14038a977763d62ac41cb", | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Truth of Historical Texts", | |
"assumption": "The historical texts about Socrates are reliable.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-2" | |
], | |
"article_id": "ccef02383aec4c32a3e89003fb1a29b2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-ccef02383aec4c32a3e89003fb1a29b2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2_valueJudgments", | |
"title": "Value of Philosophical Inquiry", | |
"assumption": "Philosophical inquiry and the pursuit of virtue are beneficial.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"13-14", | |
"21-22" | |
], | |
"article_id": "ccef02383aec4c32a3e89003fb1a29b2", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_socratesMethods", | |
"title": "Socrates' Core Methods", | |
"lemma": "Socrates primarily employed the elenctic method (Socratic questioning) and focused conversations on virtue and ethics.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"lines": [ | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_impactOnDisciples", | |
"title": "Impact on Followers", | |
"lemma": "Socrates profoundly influenced his followers, leading many to pursue philosophical careers.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"lines": [ | |
"9-12" | |
], | |
"article_id": "ccef02383aec4c32a3e89003fb1a29b2", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Legacy of Socrates", | |
"conclusion": "Socrates' methods and focus on virtue had a lasting and significant impact on Western philosophy.", | |
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], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
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], | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-2", | |
"13-14", | |
"21-22" | |
], | |
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"article_id": "ccef02383aec4c32a3e89003fb1a29b2", | |
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"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Investment Proposal Exists", | |
"assumption": "The mtn investment proposal document exists.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-1" | |
], | |
"article_id": "8dc14a1488d14fdfb990e21f0f337fc7", | |
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"title": "Proposal Incorporation", | |
"assumption": "This proposal draft has been incorporated with the mtn investment proposal.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-1" | |
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"lemma": "functional brain networks exhibit highly heterogeneous scale free functional connectivity with small world properties.", | |
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"lemma": "key features of the correlations seen in the fMRI experiments are also observed in a paradigmatic critical system. The main point of these results is to demonstrate that a correlation network with scale free degree distribution... can be extracted from a dynamical system, providing is at a critical point, regardless of the underlying connectivity.", | |
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"lemma": "BOLD low-frequency fluctuations are correlated across spatially separated but functionally related brain regions... They exhibit long-range correlations with the power of the spectrum decaying as 1/f\u00c3\u009f.", | |
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"title": "Balance of Positive and Negative Correlations in Resting State", | |
"lemma": "An important experimental finding was that the ratio between the area covered by positive correlations and those with negative correlations was always very close to one... consistently found in all healthy volunteers analyzed up to now.", | |
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"lemma": "the results shown in Fig. 5 suggest that these anticorrelated clusters can be originated solely by the critical dynamics.", | |
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"title": "Epileptic Seizures and Earthquakes Analogy", | |
"lemma": "Their analysis reveals an striking analogy between the dynamics of seizures and well known power laws governing earthquakes such as the Gutemberg-Ritcher and Omori laws.", | |
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"key": "L_seizuresStopLikeEarthquakes", | |
"title": "Seizure Cessation Mechanism", | |
"lemma": "the mechanism by which seizures stop is related with the same critical process that triggers them.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_sensesAreCriticalForSurvival", | |
"title": "Sensory System Importance", | |
"lemma": "the sensory apparatus is critical for any animal survival.", | |
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"key": "L_criticalityOptimizesSensoryDynamicRange", | |
"title": "Criticality Optimizes Sensory Sensitivity", | |
"lemma": "a network of excitable elements set precisely at the edge of a phase transition or, at criticality can be both, extremely sensitive to small perturbations and still able to detect large inputs without saturation... The key aspect in the model is a local parameter controlling the amplification of any initial firing activity. Whenever the average amplification is around unity... the dynamic range of the network is maximized.", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Brain Operates Near Critical State", | |
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"L_criticalStateMaximizesRepertoire", | |
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"L_criticalityNecessaryForConsciousDevice", | |
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"A1", | |
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"title": "Brain Properties are Generic to Critical State", | |
"conclusion": "the most fascinating properties of the brain are -simply- generic properties found at this dynamical state, suggesting a different angle to study how the brain works.", | |
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"L_criticalStateMaximizesRepertoire", | |
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"L_criticalityNecessaryForConsciousDevice", | |
"L_criticalityRequiredForMemoryAndAdaptation", | |
"L_neuronalAvalanchesAreCritical", | |
"L_functionalBrainNetworksAreComplexAndScaleFree", | |
"L_scaleFreeNetworksFromCriticalDynamics", | |
"L_brainRestingStateHasLongRangeCorrelations", | |
"L_phasicBalanceInRestingState", | |
"L_criticalDynamicsExplainsAnticorrelatedClusters", | |
"L_seizuresExhibitEarthquakeLikeStatistics", | |
"L_seizuresStopLikeEarthquakes", | |
"L_criticalityOptimizesSensoryDynamicRange" | |
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"A1" | |
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"def_behavioralRepertoire", | |
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"title": "Brain Needed for Critical World Navigation", | |
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"L_nonCriticalWorldBrainSuperfluous" | |
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"A2_BrainWorldCoEvolution", | |
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"title": "Sufficiently advanced AI is dangerous", | |
"assumption": "Artificial intelligence that is sufficiently advanced poses an existential risk to humanity.", | |
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"1-3" | |
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"title": "Current AI safety methods are insufficient", | |
"assumption": "Current methods for ensuring the safety and alignment of AI are not sufficient to mitigate potential future risks.", | |
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"4-6" | |
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"title": "Government action is necessary", | |
"assumption": "Government intervention is required to address the risks associated with advanced AI.", | |
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"7-9" | |
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"key": "L_needForStrongerRegulation", | |
"title": "Need for stronger AI regulation", | |
"lemma": "Given the acknowledged risks and insufficient current safety measures, stronger government regulation of AI is needed.", | |
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"A1", | |
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"title": "Governments must regulate AI", | |
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"L_needForStrongerRegulation" | |
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"A1", | |
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"title": "Colosseum Accelerator Cohort 1", | |
"assumption": "Colosseum has selected 10 startups from the 34 Solana Renaissance Hackathon winners to invest in and accept into its accelerator program.", | |
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"title": "Startup Potential", | |
"assumption": "Each selected startup possesses the necessary talent, speed, vision, and drive to build successful products.", | |
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"conclusion": "Colosseum is excited to unveil the inaugural accelerator cohort, which consists of the 10 selected startups from the Solana Renaissance Hackathon winners.", | |
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"key": "def_meritocraticVoting", | |
"title": "Blind Meritocratic Voting", | |
"definition": "By hiding interim results while showing engagement levels, it forces independent thinking rather than consensus-seeking behavior. Each vote's weight is determined by the participant's reputation, creating a dynamic system where influence must be earned through consistently good decision-making.", | |
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"key": "def_futarchy", | |
"title": "Futarchy", | |
"definition": "Futarchy takes a radically different approach, using conditional prediction markets to make decisions. Participants trade tokens conditional on decision outcomes, with time-weighted average prices (TWAP) determining the final result.", | |
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"key": "def_predictionMarkets", | |
"title": "Prediction Markets", | |
"definition": "Prediction markets offer an interesting middle ground, combining elements of both systems while introducing their own unique characteristics. They maintain market mechanics while simplifying participation, creating a more accessible way to aggregate distributed knowledge.", | |
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"key": "def_mixedStrategy", | |
"title": "Mixed Governance Strategy", | |
"definition": "mixed strategies will outperform pure approaches in the long term.", | |
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"key": "def_organizationalLearning", | |
"title": "Organizational Learning", | |
"definition": "This multi-mechanism approach creates a positive feedback loop of organizational learning. Each decision mechanism generates different types of data and insights... By analyzing outcomes across these mechanisms, organizations can continuously refine their decision-making processes.", | |
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"title": "Past Governance Failures", | |
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"assumption": "The decentralized financial age and increasingly complex, decentralized organizations demand better governance systems than simple voting mechanisms.", | |
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"title": "MetaDAO Futarchy Insights", | |
"assumption": "MetaDAO's implementation of futarchy provides valid insights into futarchy dynamics, despite experiencing limited trading volume.", | |
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"title": "TeleoHumanity Governance Evolution", | |
"assumption": "Given TeleoHumanity's commitment to optimal decision-making, Leo's governance capabilities will likely evolve to incorporate multiple mechanisms, assuming no strong opposition from early contributors.", | |
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"key": "L_meritocraticStrengths", | |
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"key": "L_meritocraticLimitations", | |
"title": "Limitations of Meritocratic Voting", | |
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"key": "L_futarchyStrengths", | |
"title": "Strengths of Futarchy", | |
"lemma": "Futarchy is extremely manipulation resistant, self-correcting through market forces, forces skin in the game, excels for binary outcomes, and has proven effectiveness in high-stakes decisions.", | |
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"key": "L_futarchyLimitations", | |
"title": "Limitations of Futarchy", | |
"lemma": "Futarchy has complex mechanics that deter participation, low natural trading volume in uncontested decisions, requires constant monitoring by traders, and market dynamics can sometimes override marginally beneficial decisions.", | |
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"title": "Futarchy Price Dynamics Caveat", | |
"lemma": "In Futarchy, arbitrage opportunities can sometimes lead to counterintuitive results where marginally good decisions fail or marginally bad decisions pass, based on the profit potential from trading against the outcome.", | |
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"key": "L_predictionMarketDescription", | |
"title": "Prediction Markets Offer Middle Ground", | |
"lemma": "Prediction markets combine elements of meritocratic voting and futarchy, simplifying participation while using market mechanics to aggregate distributed knowledge, making them versatile for medium-stakes decisions.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_complementaryMechanisms", | |
"title": "Mechanisms are Complementary, Not Competing", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_optimalDeployment", | |
"title": "Optimal Deployment Strategies", | |
"lemma": "Each governance mechanism is best suited for different types of decisions: meritocratic voting for daily operations, prediction markets for medium-stakes choices, and futarchy for critical decisions requiring high manipulation resistance.", | |
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"key": "def_metaverse", | |
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"key": "def_swarmLogic", | |
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"key": "def_emergence", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_web3", | |
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"key": "def_inclusiveEconomicInstitutions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_extractiveEconomicInstitutions", | |
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"title": "Persistence of Cyberspace Importance", | |
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"title": "Eventual Embodied Internet Development", | |
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"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Influence of the Committed Few", | |
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"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Power of Stories", | |
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"title": "Decentralized Approach for Web3 Narratives", | |
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"title": "Evolutionary Lag of Psychology", | |
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"title": "Dystopian Futures Make Better Stories", | |
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"key": "L_livingBookEmergence", | |
"title": "Self-Evolving Book Through Decentralization", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_emergenceCreatesIntelligence", | |
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"key": "L_marketsAreEmergent", | |
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"lemma": "Markets are one example of an emergent phenomenon.", | |
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"key": "L_marketsEnableCoordination", | |
"title": "Markets Enable Large-Scale Coordination", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_blockchainIsEmergent", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_brainsAreEmergent", | |
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"key": "L_swarmLogicCanHarnessEmergence", | |
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"lemma": "We believe that we can harness emergence to create a living book that is greater than the sum of its individual contributors... Through this decentralized approach, the book can adapt, evolve and even split over time in response to changing environmental conditions, just like how an ant colony or our own brains adjust their behaviors in response to a changing environment.", | |
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"key": "L_disruptionCreatesOpportunity", | |
"title": "Disruption Creates Opportunity", | |
"lemma": "Times of unprecedented disruption are also times of unparalleled opportunity.", | |
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"key": "L_web3Opportunities", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_scienceFictionPrecedesFact", | |
"title": "Science Fiction Influences Technology", | |
"lemma": "Revolutionary technological developments and significant technological trends are often foreseen - and their consequences explored - in science fiction decades before they actually become possible... these formative depictions of the metaverse went on to shape the ideas of entrepreneurs and venture capitalists building and investing in the space.", | |
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"key": "L_gamesAreNotMetaverses", | |
"title": "Game Worlds Are Not Metaverses", | |
"lemma": "A metaverse is not a game-based virtual world like Call of Duty or Fortnite. These games are not metaverses for three primary reasons.", | |
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"key": "L_vrIsNotMetaverse", | |
"title": "VR is Not the Metaverse Itself", | |
"lemma": "A metaverse is also not a shared space accessed by virtual reality. Virtual reality is merely one method of experiencing a virtual world or space and virtual reality is not in and of itself sufficient to make a virtual space into a metaverse.", | |
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"key": "L_frictionlessEconomyCrucial", | |
"title": "Frictionless Economy and Strong Property Rights are Crucial", | |
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"A10" | |
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"groupId": "LEM_0249" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_centralizedPlatformsExtractValue", | |
"title": "Centralized Platforms Extract Value", | |
"lemma": "The power and propensity that centralized platforms have to change the rules of the game once they achieve mass adoption is one of the largest problems with the current structure of the internet... To continue growing requires extracting data from users and competing with (former) partners.", | |
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"groupId": "LEM_0250" | |
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"key": "L_extractionStiflesInnovation", | |
"title": "Extraction Stifles Innovation", | |
"lemma": "For third parties, the transition from cooperation to competition feels like a bait-and-switch. Over time, the best entrepreneurs, developers, and investors have learned to not build on top of centralized platforms. This has stifled innovation.", | |
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"key": "L_web2StiflesValueCreation", | |
"title": "Web2 Inhibits Value Creation", | |
"lemma": "While this strategy is great for the bottom line of Google and Facebook which have extraordinarily high operating margins. It destroys a lot of the potential value of the internet as a whole.", | |
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"A12" | |
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"key": "L_web3EmpowersCreatives", | |
"title": "Web3 Empowers Innovation", | |
"lemma": "However the building blocks of web 3 - blockchain technology, smart contracts, social tokens and NFTs - promise to create a fairer, more inclusive ownership model for the internet which will empower entrepreneurs and creatives to innovate rapidly, ramping up the pace of creative destruction.", | |
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"A13" | |
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"title": "Importance of Web3 and Metaverse", | |
"conclusion": "These trends are important to web3 and the metaverse for two reasons. First, web3 technologies like NFTs and cryptocurrencies enable new forms of organizations like DAOs that... can be much more flexible and adaptive than traditional organizations... Second, the billions of dollars in investment that companies are pouring into remote working and increasing the digital enablement of their businesses are expanding the total addressable market and accelerating the foundational technologies of the metaverse.", | |
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"L_web3Opportunities", | |
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"A2", | |
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], | |
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{ | |
"title": "Community-Written Book as a Beneficial Metaverse Enabler", | |
"conclusion": "To that end, this book represents a novel approach to community-driven content creation... By creating a living book, we can ensure that the narrative around web3, NFTs, and the metaverse remains fresh, relevant, and aligned with the principles of decentralization and community control that underpin these technologies.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
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"L_communityBookAdvantages", | |
"L_livingBookEmergence", | |
"L_swarmLogicCanHarnessEmergence" | |
], | |
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"A5", | |
"A6", | |
"A7" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_web3", | |
"def_metaverse", | |
"def_swarmLogic", | |
"def_emergence" | |
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"article_id": "38b2e3590cf6420faadb5bf40ae00f53", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Characteristics of a True Metaverse", | |
"conclusion": "Despite the disagreement, we believe there is a general consensus that a true metaverse must possess 4 key characteristics: synchronous and live, persistent, available individually and concurrently, and possess a fully functioning economy.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"title": "Web3 as a Solution to Web2's Problems", | |
"conclusion": "The divergence between the original vision of the internet and its current reality has spawned the ongoing movement towards creating a third era for the internet - what many are calling web3... If web3 networks can solve the complex problem of how to fairly distribute the economic value of useful creative works and innovations throughout a network of stakeholders it promises to \u00e2\u0080\u009cunlock a new wave of creativity and entrepreneurship.\u00e2\u0080\u009d", | |
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"L_web3EmpowersCreatives" | |
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"A11", | |
"A12", | |
"A13" | |
], | |
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"def_web3", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_healthRiskAssessment", | |
"title": "Health Risk Assessment (HRA)", | |
"definition": "Assessments conducted within 90 days of enrollment and annually thereafter.", | |
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"16-17" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0066" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_individualizedCarePlan", | |
"title": "Individualized Care Plan (ICP)", | |
"definition": "Created based on various data sources and shared with members and their care teams to ensure cohesive care delivery.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"17-19" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0067" | |
}, | |
{ | |
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"title": "Medicare Advantage Plans Goal", | |
"assumption": "Medicare Advantage plans aim to deliver personalized and coordinated care to members.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-2" | |
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"article_id": "059db9b53f094296ac7dc5456b61af08", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Importance of Data Stack", | |
"assumption": "A modern data stack supports efficient data processing and analytics.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"6-9" | |
], | |
"article_id": "059db9b53f094296ac7dc5456b61af08", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Data Science and AI Value in Healthcare", | |
"assumption": "Integrating data science and machine learning enhances healthcare delivery.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"11-12" | |
], | |
"article_id": "059db9b53f094296ac7dc5456b61af08", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Balancing Tech and Human Care", | |
"assumption": "Optimizing the balance between technological solutions and human involvement ensures personalized and effective patient care.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"14-16" | |
], | |
"article_id": "059db9b53f094296ac7dc5456b61af08", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Benefits of Member-Centric Approach", | |
"assumption": "Treating members like family improves understanding, builds trust, and provides customized healthcare experiences.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"21-23" | |
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"key": "def_positiveSwitchingCosts", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0082" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_maintenanceMarketingCosts", | |
"title": "Maintenance Marketing Costs", | |
"definition": "One can think of the monthly amortization of the SAC over the life of the subscriber as maintenance marketing costs.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"84-85" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0083" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_serialChurners", | |
"title": "Serial Churners", | |
"definition": "These are subscribers who have disconnected three or more services in the past two years.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"154-155" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0084" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_twelveMonthResubscribeRate", | |
"title": "12-month Resubscribe Rate", | |
"definition": "the proportion of gross additions for any service in a given month who are resubscribing to that service after having canceled within the prior 12 months.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"162-165" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0085" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_badBundles", | |
"title": "Bad Bundles", | |
"definition": "\"bad\" (or forced) bundles, in which it isn't possible to buy the components individually (like cable TV or the newspaper)", | |
"lines": [ | |
"193-195" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_goodBundles", | |
"title": "Good Bundles", | |
"definition": "\"good\" (or voluntary) bundles, in which it is [possible to buy the components individually].", | |
"lines": [ | |
"195-196" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Churn is Undisclosed by Major Streamers", | |
"assumption": "None of the major streamers disclose their churn rate publicly.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"20-21" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "U.S. Subscribers are ~90% of UCAN Total", | |
"assumption": "U.S. represents about 90% of UCAN totals.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"62" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Netflix Marketing Expense is Proportional to Revenue", | |
"assumption": "Netflix's marketing expenses are distributed among its regions roughly pro rata with revenue contribution.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"88-90" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Netflix Has Lower SAC", | |
"assumption": "It's reasonable to assume that the SAC that HBO Max, Paramount or Disney+ incur is a lot more than what Netflix spends.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"97-99" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Serial Churn Increase is Due to Service Availability", | |
"assumption": "This increase [in serial churners] reflects... the increase in streaming services over the last several years.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"158-160" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_serialChurners" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Customers Hate Restrictions, Love Choice", | |
"assumption": "consumers hate restrictions (\u201ccontract\u201d is a four-letter word) but love choice.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"244-245" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_churnIsRising", | |
"title": "Streaming Churn Is Rising", | |
"lemma": "Churn is much higher than many expected, it's going up (Figure 1) and it might not be easy to tame.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0284" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_highChurnLowEquilibriumSubBase", | |
"title": "High Churn Means Lower Equilibrium Subscriber Base", | |
"lemma": "Stubbornly high churn could render streaming permanently unprofitable for some streamers-even at scale... That's because high churn both lowers the equilibrium subscriber base and increases maintenance marketing costs.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate", | |
"def_maintenanceMarketingCosts" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0284" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_churnUnderminesProfitabilityEfforts", | |
"title": "Ease of Churn Undermines Profitability Efforts", | |
"lemma": "The ease of churning, however, gives consumers the power to undermine these efforts. If price increases and fewer new big budget shows just result in even higher churn, the industry may end up pushing on a string.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0284" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_higherChurnLowerSubBase", | |
"title": "Higher Churn Implies Lower Subscriber Base", | |
"lemma": "All things equal, higher churn means fewer subs.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0284" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_steadyGrossAddsAndChurnPredictEquilibrium", | |
"title": "Stable Gross Adds and Churn Predict Equilibrium", | |
"lemma": "once both gross adds and churn rate stabilize, that will dictate where the sub base stops growing-i.e., the size of the equilibrium subscriber base-even years in advance.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0286" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_churnDeterminesCustomerLife", | |
"title": "Churn Rate Determines Customer Life", | |
"lemma": "the inverse of the churn rate is the average amount of time that a customer sticks around, or \u201ccustomer life\u201d (average customer life = 1/churn rate).", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate", | |
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"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0285" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_shorterCustomerLifeReducesROIAcquiringCustomer", | |
"title": "Shorter Customer Life Reduces Acquisition ROI", | |
"lemma": "all things equal, a shorter life reduces the ROI of acquiring a customer.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_customerLife" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0285" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_highChurnHighMaintenanceCosts", | |
"title": "High Churn Implies High Maintenance Marketing Costs", | |
"lemma": "for streamers that have average revenue per user (ARPU) in the high single digits (Figure 11), this means maintenance marketing costs may chew up 1/3 to 1/2 of revenue-before any content costs or any other operating expenses.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A4" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate", | |
"def_maintenanceMarketingCosts" | |
], | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0284" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_sportsRightsPredicatedOnYearLongFees", | |
"title": "Sports Rights Rely on Year-Round Affiliate Fees", | |
"lemma": "many sports rights contracts are predicated on getting paid elevated affiliate fees for a full year, for programming that's only on for a few months or even weeks.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0290" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_streamingHasLowerSwitchingCostsThanPayTV", | |
"title": "Streaming Has Lower Switching Costs", | |
"lemma": "Both positive and negative switching costs for streaming are much lower than they are for pay TV.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_switchingCosts", | |
"def_positiveSwitchingCosts", | |
"def_negativeSwitchingCosts" | |
], | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0287" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_growingHabitOfChurning", | |
"title": "Consumers Are Becoming Habituated to Churning", | |
"lemma": "There is also growing circumstantial evidence that churn is becoming an ingrained consumer behavior.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0288" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_resubscribeRateHighAndClimbing", | |
"title": "Resubscribe Rate Is High and Rising", | |
"lemma": "for many services the resubscribe rate is very high, and climbing. For Netflix, in recent months over 40% of... gross additions had canceled within the prior year.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_twelveMonthResubscribeRate" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0288" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_accommodatingChurnersReducesSAC", | |
"title": "Accommodating Frequent Churners Reduces Re-acquisition Cost", | |
"lemma": "accommodating frequent churners by making it easy for them to sign back up... could dramatically reduce the SAC to re-acquire these subs.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0291" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_bundlesReduceChurn", | |
"title": "Bundles Reduce Churn", | |
"lemma": "Bad bundles reduce churn because they offer all or nothing... Good bundles reduce churn because... canceling the entire bundle incurs the opportunity cost of losing access to all the components, while downgrading to one or more components requires forgoing the bundled discount.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate", | |
"def_badBundles", | |
"def_goodBundles" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0289" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_goodBundlesEngenderGoodwill", | |
"title": "Good Bundles Engage Goodwill", | |
"lemma": "Good bundles both provide choice and make the benefit of bundling explicit. They engender goodwill.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_goodBundles" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0289" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_theDisneyBundleChurnIsLower", | |
"title": "Churn on Disney Bundle is Lower", | |
"lemma": "the churn on this bundle [The Disney Bundle] is far lower than the churn on the individual components (Figure 17).", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate" | |
], | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0289" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "High Churn Makes Some Streaming Unprofitable", | |
"conclusion": "Stubbornly high churn may render streaming permanently unprofitable for some streamers, even at scale.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_highChurnLowEquilibriumSubBase", | |
"L_highChurnHighMaintenanceCosts" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A4" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate", | |
"def_maintenanceMarketingCosts" | |
], | |
"key": "C599", | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "The Industry Needs to Adapt to Combat Churn", | |
"conclusion": "Churn is pressuring streaming economics in a way that many didn't expect. The industry needs to adapt business models and practices specifically intended to combat it.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_churnIsRising", | |
"L_highChurnLowEquilibriumSubBase", | |
"L_churnUnderminesProfitabilityEfforts", | |
"L_highChurnHighMaintenanceCosts", | |
"L_sportsRightsPredicatedOnYearLongFees", | |
"L_streamingHasLowerSwitchingCostsThanPayTV", | |
"L_growingHabitOfChurning" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A4", | |
"A5" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate", | |
"def_maintenanceMarketingCosts", | |
"def_switchingCosts", | |
"def_serialChurners" | |
], | |
"key": "C600", | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Taming Churn Is Job #1", | |
"conclusion": "For all the reasons cited above, taming churn should be job #1.", | |
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"L_churnIsRising", | |
"L_highChurnLowEquilibriumSubBase", | |
"L_churnUnderminesProfitabilityEfforts", | |
"L_highChurnHighMaintenanceCosts", | |
"L_sportsRightsPredicatedOnYearLongFees", | |
"L_streamingHasLowerSwitchingCostsThanPayTV", | |
"L_growingHabitOfChurning" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A4", | |
"A5" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_churnRate", | |
"def_maintenanceMarketingCosts", | |
"def_switchingCosts", | |
"def_serialChurners" | |
], | |
"key": "C601", | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Focus on Positive Switching Costs", | |
"conclusion": "the industry needs to focus on positive switching costs, i.e., creating more reasons that people want to stick around.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_streamingHasLowerSwitchingCostsThanPayTV" | |
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"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_positiveSwitchingCosts", | |
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"key": "C602", | |
"article_id": "5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-5e12b1c5668f45de90caf424f255f0e2.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_knowledgeBase", | |
"title": "Knowledge Base", | |
"definition": "documented knowledge base", | |
"lines": [ | |
"7-7", | |
"19-19" | |
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"article_id": "f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0147" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1_communicationChannel", | |
"title": "Communication Channel", | |
"assumption": "Responses are given on X.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4-4" | |
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"article_id": "f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2_characterLimit", | |
"title": "Character Limit Constraint", | |
"assumption": "Responses should stay within 280 characters.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"14-14" | |
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"article_id": "f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3_contentControl", | |
"title": "Content Control", | |
"assumption": "Responses are based on the documented knowledge base.", | |
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"7-7", | |
"19-19" | |
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"def_knowledgeBase" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A4_encouragement", | |
"title": "Encouragement of Contribution", | |
"assumption": "Users should be encouraged to contribute to the knowledge base.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"9-10", | |
"12-13" | |
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"article_id": "f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_contributionMechanism", | |
"title": "Contribution Mechanism", | |
"lemma": "Users contribute ideas to the knowledge base, which are voted on and integrated, leading to system evolution and contributor ownership.", | |
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"A4_encouragement" | |
], | |
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"def_knowledgeBase" | |
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"article_id": "f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0081" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Response Protocol", | |
"conclusion": "Responses should be evaluated for knowledge base coverage, formatted appropriately (short or long), delivered in a specific tone and style, and direct disputes to a formal contribution process.", | |
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"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1_communicationChannel", | |
"A2_characterLimit", | |
"A3_contentControl", | |
"A4_encouragement" | |
], | |
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"def_knowledgeBase" | |
], | |
"key": "C609", | |
"article_id": "f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-f056f8e9a8774d97a4f2ab9bfde90a1a.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_acceleratorProgram", | |
"title": "Accelerator Program", | |
"definition": "a program into which Colosseum selects startups to invest in and accept", | |
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"8-9" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0086" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Colosseum Has an Accelerator Program", | |
"assumption": "Colosseum operates an accelerator program.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1" | |
], | |
"article_id": "c64965a724034c18853881c10aea312a", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Accelerator Cohorts Exist", | |
"assumption": "Accelerator programs organize startups into numbered cohorts.", | |
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"1", | |
"4" | |
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"article_id": "c64965a724034c18853881c10aea312a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-c64965a724034c18853881c10aea312a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Solana Radar Hackathon Was Held", | |
"assumption": "A hackathon called Solana Radar Hackathon recently occurred.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4-5" | |
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"article_id": "c64965a724034c18853881c10aea312a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-c64965a724034c18853881c10aea312a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Hackathon Had Participants and Winners", | |
"assumption": "The Solana Radar Hackathon involved teams submitting products and judges awarding prizes to some teams.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"5-6" | |
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"article_id": "c64965a724034c18853881c10aea312a", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-c64965a724034c18853881c10aea312a.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_selectionCriteriaMet", | |
"title": "Selected Startups Meet Criteria", | |
"lemma": "Each of the 13 selected startups possesses the necessary technical talent, speed, vision, and competitive drive.", | |
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"A3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Colosseum Announces Second Accelerator Cohort", | |
"conclusion": "Colosseum is unveiling its second accelerator cohort, composed of 13 startups selected from the winners of the recent Solana Radar Hackathon.", | |
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"L_selectionCriteriaMet" | |
], | |
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"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3", | |
"A4" | |
], | |
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"key": "C616", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_economicHouse", | |
"title": "Species' Future Economic Structure", | |
"definition": "an economic structure capable of protecting our species from danger and facilitating our greater flourishing.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"36-37" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0201" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_humanity", | |
"title": "Humanity as an Individual", | |
"definition": "humanity as a single individual - Humanity - capable of possessing a perspective and pursuing goal-oriented action.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"41-42" | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-2f2534c979e141439b0a76b74a02f572.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0023" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_multiplanetarySpaceFaringCivilization", | |
"title": "Secure Long-Term Future House", | |
"definition": "a multi-planetary, space faring civilization if we are to secure our species long term future - this is the \u00e2\u0080\u009chouse\u00e2\u0080\u009d we are trying to build.", | |
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"70-72" | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-2f2534c979e141439b0a76b74a02f572.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0201" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_architecturalInvesting", | |
"title": "Investing for Future Economic House", | |
"definition": "Constructing Our Species Future Economic House: When contemplating the long term future of our species, it can be useful to imagine humanity as a single individual...", | |
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"39-66" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_dominantDesign", | |
"title": "Initial Product Configuration", | |
"definition": "industries also tend to develop a dominant design for a product that allows them to focus their energies on improving components. This initial product configuration or dominant design can exert a powerful effect throughout the future history of a product.", | |
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"138-141" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0200" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_priorityInheritance", | |
"title": "Optionality and Competency Value", | |
"definition": "a type of priority inheritance to value as some companies enjoy not only the current value of their products and related cash flows, but also the competencies and optionality of further improvements and iterations that cannot currently be predicted or foreseen - because technological development is inherently unpredictable.", | |
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"147-152" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0202" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_existentialRisk", | |
"title": "Most Meaningful Danger", | |
"definition": "Existential risks pose the most meaningful danger to our species as they inherently threaten to make irrelevant the millennia of grueling work our ancestors put into creating a better life for their children as well as destroy everything we value today and annihilate the future of humanity.", | |
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"213-217" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0203" | |
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"title": "Economic Growth and Specialization Fuel", | |
"assumption": "Economic growth and increasing specialization are fueled by growing pools of knowledge and knowhow.", | |
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"1-3" | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Food Production Effect on Environment and Societies", | |
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"5-8" | |
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"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Sedentary Communities Before Food Production", | |
"assumption": "Prior to food production, sedentary communities developed only in productive areas.", | |
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"8-11" | |
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"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Food Production Increased Population Density", | |
"assumption": "The advent of food production increased population density and provided a stable food source.", | |
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"13-15" | |
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"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Settling Led to Larger Homes", | |
"assumption": "As people settled, they built larger, more solid homes for better protection.", | |
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"18-20" | |
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"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Nomadic Society New Knowledge Aversion", | |
"assumption": "In nomadic societies, there are diminishing returns to new knowledge/technology due to transportation difficulty.", | |
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"22-28" | |
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"key": "A7", | |
"title": "Farming Increased Value of Knowledge/Technology", | |
"assumption": "With farming and sedentary societies, knowledge and technology became broadly more valuable.", | |
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"key": "A8", | |
"title": "Sedentary Living Decisive for Technology", | |
"assumption": "Sedentary living was decisive for technology because it enabled accumulation of nonportable possessions and economic specialization.", | |
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"33-38" | |
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"title": "Challenges Force Local Mindset", | |
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"title": "Must Reduce Burden for Future Success", | |
"assumption": "To successfully meet future challenges and build a multiplanetary society, we cannot bear the full weight of these future problems and must reduce their burden.", | |
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"title": "Future Outcomes Probabilistic", | |
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"key": "A76", | |
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"key": "A78", | |
"title": "Organisms and Markets are Algorithms", | |
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"315-316" | |
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"key": "A79", | |
"title": "Algorithm Solutions Apply to Markets", | |
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"316-317" | |
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"key": "A80", | |
"title": "Low-Priority Task Blocking", | |
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"key": "A81", | |
"title": "Priority Inheritance Solves Blocking", | |
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"322-325" | |
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"key": "A82", | |
"title": "Internet Evolution Example", | |
"assumption": "The internet had to evolve through years of relative uselessness.", | |
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"327-328" | |
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"key": "A83", | |
"title": "Current Investments Build Groundwork", | |
"assumption": "Without current investments in biometrics and space tech, the groundwork for future technologies won't be built.", | |
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"328-330" | |
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"key": "A84", | |
"title": "Nascent Tech Inherits Value", | |
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"330-334" | |
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"key": "A85", | |
"title": "Existential Risks Threaten Everything", | |
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"key": "A86", | |
"title": "Need Capabilities to Transport Material to Orbit", | |
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"341-343" | |
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"key": "A87", | |
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"key": "A89", | |
"title": "Need Efficient Tech for Colonies", | |
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"key": "A90", | |
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"title": "Investments Carry Optionality", | |
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"title": "Investments Valuable if Positive Future Realized", | |
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"key": "A93", | |
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"title": "Capped Downside on Investments", | |
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"title": "Cheap Transportation Opens Solar System", | |
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"title": "Opening Solar System Causes Changes", | |
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"title": "Developments Destabilize Markets", | |
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"title": "Need Different Health Approach", | |
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"title": "Biometrics as Key Technology", | |
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"key": "A106", | |
"title": "Biometrics Affects Value Distribution", | |
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"title": "Health Trend Affects Value Distribution", | |
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"title": "Reallocation is Autocatalytic", | |
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"key": "A49", | |
"title": "Order Remains Active Until Fulfilled or Price Rises", | |
"assumption": "The order will remain active until it is either fully executed or the market price rises back to or above 0.575 USDC.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"386-389" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A50", | |
"title": "New Order Placed After Full Execution", | |
"assumption": "Once a trigger order is fully executed, the operational multisig will place a new one.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"390-391" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A51", | |
"title": "Cycle Repeats Until Fund Exhausted", | |
"assumption": "This cycle will repeat until the total buyback allocation of 1,000,000 USDC is exhausted.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"392-393" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": "ASS_0017" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A52", | |
"title": "Remaining USDC Returned to DAO", | |
"assumption": "Any USDC remaining on 05/17/25 would be sent back to the DAO by the operational multisig.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"394-395" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": "ASS_0017" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A53_Compensation", | |
"title": "Compensation for Multisig Members", | |
"assumption": "1,500 USDC would be used to pay multisig members, distributed equally.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"405-406" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_expectedReturnDefiLulo", | |
"title": "Expected Return from DeFi Carrot and Lulo Deployment", | |
"lemma": "Deploying Approximately $4M of idle USDC into DeFi Carrot and Lulo is expected to generate a blended 8-13% APY.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc", | |
"def_defiCarrot", | |
"def_lulo" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0261" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_downsideLimitedSeedplex", | |
"title": "Limited Downside Risk for Seedplex Investment", | |
"lemma": "The $200k investment in Menace Finance represents a limited downside as it is a small percentage of the mtnCapital treasury.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A17" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0260" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_blockMarketsValueProp", | |
"title": "Block Markets Value Proposition", | |
"lemma": "Block Markets offers permissionless block trading with superior execution and dual liquidity sourcing.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A11", | |
"A12", | |
"A18" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_blockMarkets" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0324" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_seedplexMarketOpportunity", | |
"title": "Seedplex Market Opportunity", | |
"lemma": "The market for regulated securities offerings is growing, and current conditions favor security tokens, providing an opportunity for Seedplex.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A13", | |
"A15", | |
"A19", | |
"A22", | |
"A23" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_seedplex", | |
"def_securityTokens", | |
"def_sto" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0255" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_potentialReturnSeedplex", | |
"title": "Potential Return from Seedplex Investment", | |
"lemma": "Menace Finance reaching a $25-$35m valuation in the next round suggests a 3.6-5x multiple on mtnCapital's initial $200k investment.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A9", | |
"A16" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0257" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_strategicValueSeedplex", | |
"title": "Strategic Value to mtnCapital from Seedplex", | |
"lemma": "Investing in Menace Finance offers strategic alignment for mtnCapital including deal flow access, portfolio synergies, exposure to innovative primitives, and a potential distribution partnership.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0257" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_menaceTeamCapability", | |
"title": "Menace Finance Team Capability", | |
"lemma": "The Menace Finance team is experienced, execution-focused, and supported by strong existing investors, mitigating execution risk.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A29", | |
"A30", | |
"A37" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0258" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_multipleExitPathsSeedplex", | |
"title": "Multiple Exit Paths for Seedplex Investment", | |
"lemma": "The Menace Finance investment offers multiple potential exit paths for mtnCapital including dividends, secondary sales after lockup, and potential acquisition.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A38", | |
"A39", | |
"A40", | |
"A41" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0259" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_buybackMechanism", | |
"title": "MTN Buyback Mechanism", | |
"lemma": "The operational multisig will place trigger orders to buy MTN using a dedicated USDC fund when MTN's price falls below $0.575, aiming to support the NAV price.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A43", | |
"A44", | |
"A45", | |
"A46", | |
"A47", | |
"A48", | |
"A49", | |
"A50", | |
"A51", | |
"A52", | |
"A53_Compensation" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc" | |
], | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0262" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Reject Deployment of $4m Idle USDC", | |
"conclusion": "The proposal to deploy $4M idle USDC, split evenly between DeFi Carrot and Lulo for an expected blended 8-13% APY, should be Rejected.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_expectedReturnDefiLulo" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3", | |
"A4", | |
"A5", | |
"A6", | |
"A7", | |
"A8" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc", | |
"def_defiCarrot", | |
"def_lulo" | |
], | |
"key": "C811", | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Reject Investment into Menace Finance", | |
"conclusion": "The proposal to invest $200k into Menace Finance at a $7m valuation for equity should be Rejected.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_downsideLimitedSeedplex", | |
"L_blockMarketsValueProp", | |
"L_seedplexMarketOpportunity", | |
"L_potentialReturnSeedplex", | |
"L_strategicValueSeedplex", | |
"L_menaceTeamCapability", | |
"L_multipleExitPathsSeedplex" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A9", | |
"A10", | |
"A11", | |
"A12", | |
"A13", | |
"A14", | |
"A15", | |
"A16", | |
"A17", | |
"A18", | |
"A19", | |
"A20", | |
"A21", | |
"A22", | |
"A23", | |
"A24", | |
"A25", | |
"A26", | |
"A27", | |
"A28", | |
"A29", | |
"A30", | |
"A31", | |
"A32", | |
"A33", | |
"A34", | |
"A35", | |
"A36", | |
"A37", | |
"A38", | |
"A39", | |
"A40", | |
"A41", | |
"A42" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc", | |
"def_blockMarkets", | |
"def_seedplex", | |
"def_securityTokens", | |
"def_sto" | |
], | |
"key": "C812", | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Approve Bidding $mtn to NAV", | |
"conclusion": "The proposal to bid $mtn to NAV using a dedicated USDC fund and a trigger order mechanism should be Approved.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_buybackMechanism" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A43", | |
"A44", | |
"A45", | |
"A46", | |
"A47", | |
"A48", | |
"A49", | |
"A50", | |
"A51", | |
"A52", | |
"A53_Compensation" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_usdc" | |
], | |
"key": "C813", | |
"article_id": "21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-21f980bb96394c5aaa1741f77953b2d9.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_mentalModels", | |
"title": "Mental Models", | |
"definition": "the internal maps we use to navigate reality. Each person carries within them a complex set of assumptions and beliefs about how the world works.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"11-13" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0103" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_sharedNarratives", | |
"title": "Shared Narratives", | |
"definition": "bind together communities of thought and action... create coherent frameworks for group action and understanding.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"23-27" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0104" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_worldNarratives", | |
"title": "World Narratives", | |
"definition": "the master stories that shape how entire civilizations understand reality and their place within it... the operating systems of human societies.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"32-34" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0104" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_socialConstellations", | |
"title": "Social Constellations", | |
"definition": "webs of interconnected ideas, beliefs, and knowledge that collectively make the narrative feel natural and inevitable to those living within it.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"40-43" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Humanity at Crossroads", | |
"assumption": "Humanity is currently facing a period where existing societal narratives are losing relevance.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"5-6" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Conscious Participation is Possible", | |
"assumption": "Understanding the process of narrative transformation allows for conscious participation in shaping future narratives.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"8-9" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_worldNarratives", | |
"def_sharedNarratives", | |
"def_mentalModels" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Narratives Have a Lifecycle", | |
"assumption": "Social constellations (supporting world narratives) follow a pattern of formation, dominance, accumulating contradictions, crisis, and transformation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"48-63" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_socialConstellations", | |
"def_worldNarratives" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Dominant Narratives Failing", | |
"assumption": "Dominant world narratives from the 20th century are rapidly losing coherence and explanatory power.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"65-67" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_worldNarratives" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Current Crisis is Accelerated", | |
"assumption": "The current breakdown of narratives is accelerated by global connectivity and the internet.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"68-71" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_worldNarratives" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Failed Solutions Ineffective", | |
"assumption": "Attempting to solve new problems with old mental models that contributed to those problems is ineffective.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"91-93" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_mentalModels" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A7", | |
"title": "Narratives Cannot Be Imposed", | |
"assumption": "New narratives must emerge rather than being enforced from a centralized source.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"133-134" | |
], | |
"article_id": "70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-70eee2af84224fdfa816ad1a4524d019.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A8", | |
"title": "Need for Narrative Transformation", | |
"assumption": "A new world narrative is necessary because the old ones are no longer functional.", | |
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"key": "L_hierarchyExists", | |
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"key": "L_crisisFromContradictions", | |
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"key": "L_breakdownCreatesOpportunity", | |
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"key": "L_transformationProcess", | |
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"key": "L_successfulNarrativesAreSystems", | |
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"title": "Understanding Narrative Hierarchy is Crucial", | |
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"title": "Current Moment Requires New Narratives", | |
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"title": "Conscious Participation Shapes Future Narratives", | |
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"key": "A7_web2Limitations", | |
"title": "Web2 limitations", | |
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"key": "L_emergenceCreatesIntelligence", | |
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"title": "Skewed Focus Reinforces Misconceptions", | |
"lemma": "The media's skewed focus on scams and hacks reinforces misconceptions about cryptocurrencies, portraying them only as tools for gambling or illicit transactions.", | |
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"A6_mediaBias" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0293" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_needForAccessibleInformation", | |
"title": "Need for Accessible and Substantive Information", | |
"lemma": "To onboard the next billion users and achieve success, crypto needs a more cohesive, coherent, and substantive information space that is easy to access.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"article_id": "e3cad9f4a20d480692f162631d54ee13", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0294" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_improvingInfoLandscapeCrucialReasons", | |
"title": "Reasons for Improving Information Landscape", | |
"lemma": "Enhancing the information landscape with informative content is crucial for accessibility for newcomers, empowering users, and boosting industry productivity.", | |
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"A3", | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"article_id": "e3cad9f4a20d480692f162631d54ee13", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0294" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_dysfunctionalInfoSpaceSlowsProgress", | |
"title": "Dysfunctional Information Space Slows Progress", | |
"lemma": "Crypto Twitter\u2019s dysfunctional information space slows down progress and pollutes outsiders' perceptions of a maturing blockchain technology.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A3" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0293" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_structuralIssuesCauseDysfunction", | |
"title": "Structural Issues Cause Dysfunction", | |
"lemma": "The dysfunction in the web3 information space is a product of systemic, structural issues in communication platforms.", | |
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"A1" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0293" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_limitationsOfExistingPlatforms", | |
"title": "Limitations of Current Platforms", | |
"lemma": "It will be exceptionally difficult to build a true home for computer content on current platforms due to structural faults like reliance on external algorithms, transient information, fragmentation, and lack of structure.", | |
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"A1", | |
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], | |
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"def_computerCulture" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0293" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_wikipediaCryptoPagePoorQuality", | |
"title": "Wikipedia's Poor Crypto Coverage", | |
"lemma": "The bias against crypto among Wikipedia editors has led to extremely poor and out-of-date information about crypto on the site.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A7" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0293" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_needForTransparentStructuredApproach", | |
"title": "Need for Transparent and Structured Approach", | |
"lemma": "The challenges faced by Wikipedia underscore the need for a more structured, transparent approach to information curation where contributions are accountable and merit-based.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A8_currentWikipediaModelIssues" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Opportunity for a Web3 Wikipedia", | |
"conclusion": "Blockchain technology provides the tools to create a parallel, cohesive information space for computer culture, structured as a decentralized Web3 Wikipedia, addressing the limitations of existing platforms and current information landscape dysfunction.", | |
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"L_dysfunctionalInfoSpaceSlowsProgress", | |
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"L_wikipediaCryptoPagePoorQuality" | |
], | |
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"A3", | |
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"A4", | |
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], | |
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"def_computerCulture", | |
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"key": "C893", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_futarchy", | |
"title": "Futarchy", | |
"definition": "a form of governance where decisions are made based on the outcome of prediction markets", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_proposal", | |
"title": "Governance Proposal", | |
"definition": "a formal submission to a DAO for consideration and potential execution", | |
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"5-5" | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_dao", | |
"title": "DAO", | |
"definition": "Decentralized Autonomous Organization", | |
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"5-5" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_multisig", | |
"title": "Multisig Signer", | |
"definition": "an individual appointed to execute proposal instructions, potentially involving complex actions like milestone-based payments", | |
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"34-40" | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Futarchy Requires High-Quality Proposals", | |
"assumption": "Effective futarchy relies on well-articulated and clearly defined proposals from participants.", | |
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"5-5" | |
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"def_futarchy", | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Information Efficiency is Crucial for Futarchy", | |
"assumption": "Prediction markets in a futarchy system require readily available and transparent information to function correctly.", | |
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"23-24" | |
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"def_futarchy" | |
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"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Multisig Execution Is Necessary for Some Proposals", | |
"assumption": "Certain types of proposals require the appointment and action of multisig signers for their successful implementation.", | |
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"34-35" | |
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"def_proposal", | |
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"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Real Capital is Risked in Futarchy Proposals", | |
"assumption": "Participants supporting a proposal in a futarchy governance model must risk real capital.", | |
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"51-52" | |
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"def_futarchy", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_structuredInput", | |
"title": "Structured Proposals Ensure Completeness", | |
"lemma": "Using proposal categories and templates standardizes required information, ensuring proposers include necessary details.", | |
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"A1" | |
], | |
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"def_proposal" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_transparentCommunication", | |
"title": "Proposer Communication Enhances Market Efficiency", | |
"lemma": "Proposers communicating updates allows the market to ingest information, improving efficiency and enabling cancellation of underperforming projects.", | |
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"A2" | |
], | |
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"def_dao", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_multisigImportance", | |
"title": "Multisig Roles Require Diligence", | |
"lemma": "Treating multisig signing as a serious job, with examination and simulation of instructions, prevents pitfalls in proposal execution.", | |
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"A3" | |
], | |
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"def_multisig" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_clearROIRequired", | |
"title": "Clear ROI Justifies Proposal Support", | |
"lemma": "Proposers must clearly communicate the potential positive impact and ROI of their proposal to convince market participants to support it.", | |
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"A4" | |
], | |
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"def_proposal" | |
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"key": "L_instructionVerification", | |
"title": "Executing Proposals Requires Valid Instructions", | |
"lemma": "Proposers should double-check and verify that their proposal's technical instructions are executable, potentially using testing methods.", | |
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"A1", | |
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"def_proposal", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Guide to Excellent DAO Proposals in Futarchy", | |
"conclusion": "Effective governance proposals in a futarchy system require structured submission, clear communication, diligent multisig execution, demonstrable ROI, and technical instruction verification.", | |
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"L_structuredInput", | |
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"A1", | |
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"A3", | |
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], | |
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"def_futarchy", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_livingAgents", | |
"title": "Living Agents", | |
"definition": "Living Agents face a fundamental challenge in knowledge organization and retrieval.", | |
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"2-2" | |
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"groupId": "DEF_0007" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_traditionalRetrievalMethods", | |
"title": "Traditional Retrieval Methods", | |
"definition": "traditional retrieval methods often return excessive, redundant information... return all nodes matching certain keywords", | |
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"10-10", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_pathRAG", | |
"title": "PathRAG", | |
"definition": "PathRAG offers a solution. By treating our knowledge base as an interconnected graph and using flow-based analysis to identify and prioritize key pathways, we can dramatically improve how Living Agents store, retrieve, and value information... revolutionizes knowledge graph retrieval by introducing a flow-based algorithm that identifies relevant information based on node relationships within a single query context.", | |
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"31-34", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_knowledgeGraph", | |
"title": "Knowledge Graph", | |
"definition": "knowledge naturally exists in interconnected webs... treating each piece of information as independent rather than part of a larger network of understanding.", | |
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"15-18" | |
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"key": "def_pathRAGFlowAlgorithm", | |
"title": "PathRAG Flow Algorithm", | |
"definition": "The flow algorithm then analyzes the graph structure around these nodes. Additional nodes are identified based on their distance and connection strength to the initial nodes. A pruning process removes less relevant paths, keeping only the most pertinent information.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_usageBasedValueAttribution", | |
"title": "Usage-Based Value Attribution", | |
"definition": "Information that consistently appears in successful responses or forms crucial bridges between concepts demonstrates its value through actual use rather than popularity.", | |
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"146-149" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Knowledge Accumulation in Living Agents", | |
"assumption": "As domain experts contribute their knowledge and users engage with the system, Living Agents accumulate vast amounts of valuable information.", | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Existing Knowledge Base Structure", | |
"assumption": "The accumulated information exists in a knowledge base that can be conceptually treated as an interconnected graph.", | |
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"key": "A3", | |
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"key": "A4", | |
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"key": "A5", | |
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"key": "A6", | |
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"key": "L_disconnectedKnowledgeProblem", | |
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"key": "L_valueMeasurementProblem", | |
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"key": "L_crossDomainProblem", | |
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"A1", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_pathRAGReducesRedundancy", | |
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"A3" | |
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"key": "L_pathRAGMaintainsContext", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_pathRAGIdentifiesImplicitInfo", | |
"title": "PathRAG identifies implicit information", | |
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"key": "L_pathRAGDeliversCoherentResponses", | |
"title": "PathRAG delivers coherent responses", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_pathRAGMirrorsHumanExpertise", | |
"title": "PathRAG mirrors human expertise", | |
"lemma": "Integrating PathRAG allows Living Agents to mirror how human experts think and work with information by traversing networks of related concepts.", | |
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"A4" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_pathRAGMeasuresValueThroughUsage", | |
"title": "PathRAG measures value through usage", | |
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"key": "L_pathRAGIdentifiesKnowledgeGaps", | |
"title": "PathRAG identifies knowledge gaps", | |
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"title": "PathRAG Optimizes Living Agent Intelligence", | |
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"key": "def_teleoHumanity", | |
"title": "TeleoHumanity", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_narrativeConstruction", | |
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"508-512", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_globalSuperorganism", | |
"title": "Global Superorganism", | |
"definition": "We have become a global superorganism\u00e2\u0080\u0094Humanity with a capital H. Events on one side of the world often ripple outward, affecting different continents. Our transportation networks, communication systems, and financial markets function like the circulatory, nervous, and metabolic systems of a global superorganism.", | |
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"title": "Stories are Foundational", | |
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"title": "Current Narratives are Failing", | |
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"15-17" | |
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"title": "Pivotal Moment in History", | |
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"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Unprecedented Challenges Require Collective Solutions", | |
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"title": "Technological Capability Exists for Overcoming Challenges", | |
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"title": "Need for a New Global Story", | |
"assumption": "To seize opportunities, we need a new global story that reflects our current reality and guides us toward a better future.", | |
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"37-39" | |
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"key": "A7", | |
"title": "Humans are Storytelling Creatures", | |
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"44-45" | |
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"key": "A8", | |
"title": "Behavior is Influenced by Emotion/Subconscious", | |
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"52-54" | |
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"key": "A9", | |
"title": "Collective Stories Enable Cooperation", | |
"assumption": "Collective stories enable large groups of people to cooperate effectively.", | |
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"56-57" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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"key": "A10", | |
"title": "Shared Fictions are the Bedrock of Civilizations", | |
"assumption": "Shared fictions like money, nations, corporations, and human rights have been the bedrock of our civilizations.", | |
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"59-61" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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"title": "Stories Evolve or Fail to Evolve", | |
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"title": "News Media Focus Creates Skewed Reality", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_impactfulPeriod", | |
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"key": "L_consciousSuperorganismEmergence", | |
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"key": "def_fanFiction", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3_infiniteTvNearFuture", | |
"title": "Infinite TV is Imminent", | |
"assumption": "The trends described (Infinite TV) are either years away or happening now due to recent AI developments.", | |
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"33-34" | |
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"def_infiniteTv" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4_fansAreImportant", | |
"title": "Fans are Crucial to IP Owners", | |
"assumption": "As the world transitions to infinite content, IP owners need fans more than ever.", | |
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"80-81" | |
], | |
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"def_ip" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Certain Technologies Democratize Creation", | |
"assumption": "Technology is on a path to make video creation much easier.", | |
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"178-179" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Non-Commercial Fan Art Status is Legally Ambiguous", | |
"assumption": "Whether non-commercial fan fiction falls under fair use protection is not clear cut, as fair use is determined on a case-by-case basis.", | |
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"128-130", | |
"180-182" | |
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"def_fanFiction" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_technologyLowersBarriers", | |
"title": "Technology Lowers Creation Barriers", | |
"lemma": "The arc of technology suggests that inevitably film and TV will face the same dynamics [of lowered barriers seen in journalism and music].", | |
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"A1" | |
], | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_infiniteTvPotential", | |
"title": "Infinite TV is Disruptive", | |
"lemma": "Infinite TV has the potential to be extremely disruptive for entertainment companies.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"L_technologyLowersBarriers" | |
], | |
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"def_infiniteTv" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0299" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_fanArtExistsAndIsPopular", | |
"title": "Fan Art is Prevalent and Mainstream", | |
"lemma": "Fan creation, particularly fan fiction, is a massive activity on the internet and has achieved some mainstream recognition and commercial success.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0299" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_musicIndustryEmbracesFanArt", | |
"title": "Music Industry Supports Fan Creation", | |
"lemma": "Fan art is an inherent part of the music business due to compulsory copyright licensing.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "98ee6c4d4bff4fba9bedd8ff88ceabb3", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_gamingBuiltOnFanBehavior", | |
"title": "Gaming Industry Capitalizes on Fan Behavior", | |
"lemma": "The videogame industry has fully embraced fan creation and is arguably built on the back of emergent fan behaviors like modding and virtual goods.", | |
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"def_modding" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0300" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_fanContentCouldCompete", | |
"title": "High-Quality Fan Content Could Compete for Attention", | |
"lemma": "The democratization of high production value creation tools could result in a tsunami of high-quality non-commercial fan content that could compete for attention.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A5", | |
"A6" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_ipOwnersCannotStopFanContent", | |
"title": "IP Owners May Not Be Able to Prevent Fan Content", | |
"lemma": "Entertainment companies may not be able to stop fan content even if they want to.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A5", | |
"A6", | |
"L_fanContentCouldCompete" | |
], | |
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"def_ip" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_embracingFanArtIsDefensive", | |
"title": "Embracing Fan Art is a Defensive Strategy", | |
"lemma": "Enabling fan art could be a defensive strategy for entertainment companies.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"L_ipOwnersCannotStopFanContent", | |
"L_fanContentCouldCompete" | |
], | |
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"def_fanArt" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Opportunities from Infinite TV", | |
"conclusion": "Entertainment companies can capitalize on the potential disruption from 'Infinite TV' by thinking of their intellectual property as a platform.", | |
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"L_infiniteTvPotential" | |
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"A3_infiniteTvNearFuture" | |
], | |
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"def_infiniteTv", | |
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"def_ipAsPlatform" | |
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{ | |
"title": "Benefits of IP as Platform", | |
"conclusion": "Embracing IP as a platform by enabling fan art can provide numerous benefits for entertainment companies, and since preventing fan art may be futile, it may be the only viable option.", | |
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"L_embracingFanArtIsDefensive", | |
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], | |
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"A4_fansAreImportant", | |
"A5", | |
"A6" | |
], | |
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"def_ipAsPlatform", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_existentialRisksFromAI", | |
"title": "Existential Risks from AI", | |
"definition": "Risks from AI that threaten the continued existence of humanity.", | |
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"5-5", | |
"128-128" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_agiTimelines", | |
"title": "AGI Timelines", | |
"definition": "The anticipated timeframes for the development of Artificial General Intelligence.", | |
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"80-80", | |
"167-167" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0026" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_agiSafety", | |
"title": "AGI Safety", | |
"definition": "Approaches and research areas aimed at ensuring that Artificial General Intelligence is developed and operates in a way that does not pose undue risks.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"7-7", | |
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], | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_underexploredAreas", | |
"title": "Underexplored Areas", | |
"definition": "Four specific areas of AI safety research that the Foresight Institute grant program focuses on, which are not receiving sufficient attention from other funders.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"6-6", | |
"129-129" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_automatingResearchAndForecasting", | |
"title": "Automating Research and Forecasting", | |
"definition": "AI-enabled methods for scaling research and prediction to support safe AGI development.", | |
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"8-9", | |
"136-137" | |
], | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_neurotech", | |
"title": "Neurotech", | |
"definition": "Technologies related to brain-computer interfaces, whole brain emulations, or lo-fi emulations using neural data, aimed at integrating with or competing against AGI.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"10-10", | |
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], | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_securityTechnologies", | |
"title": "Security Technologies", | |
"definition": "Implementations of computer security techniques, automated red-teaming, or cryptographic methods for securing AI systems and enabling trustworthy coordination.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"11-11", | |
"146-147" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_safeMultiAgentScenarios", | |
"title": "Safe Multi-Agent Scenarios", | |
"definition": "Research in game theory, collusion avoidance, or principal-agent problems related to interactions between multiple humans and AI systems.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"12-12", | |
"151-152" | |
], | |
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{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Urgent Need for AI Safety Research", | |
"assumption": "Shortening AGI timelines necessitate focused funding for AI safety and existential risk mitigation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"80-81", | |
"167-168" | |
], | |
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"def_agiTimelines", | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Funding Gap in Underexplored Areas", | |
"assumption": "Many existing funders focus on 'aligning' AI, leaving certain 'underexplored' areas critical for AI safety underfunded.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"83-86", | |
"168-173" | |
], | |
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"def_underexploredAreas" | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_approachCategories", | |
"title": "Effective AI Safety Approaches", | |
"lemma": "To ensure a positive human-AGI future, one must influence AI systems, humans, or their cooperation architectures.", | |
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"A1" | |
], | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_foresightApproach", | |
"title": "Foresight's Specific Approach to AI Safety", | |
"lemma": "Differing from other funders, Foresight focuses on 'strengthening' humans via neurotech/automated research and 'strengthening' cooperation architectures via computer security/multi-agent analysis.", | |
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"A2" | |
], | |
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"def_neurotech", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Necessity of the AI Safety Grant Program", | |
"conclusion": "A grant program funding projects aiming to reduce existential risks from AI in underexplored areas is necessary due to shortening AGI timelines and funding gaps in critical safety research.", | |
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"L_approachCategories", | |
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"A1", | |
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], | |
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{ | |
"title": "Focus Areas of the Grant Program", | |
"conclusion": "The grant program must focus on the four underexplored areas: Automating research and forecasting, Neurotech, Security technologies, and Safe multi-agent scenarios.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_foresightApproach" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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], | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_futarchy", | |
"title": "Futarchy", | |
"definition": "a governance system using prediction markets to make better decisions.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"2-2" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_knowledgeScalingProblem", | |
"title": "Knowledge Scaling Problem", | |
"definition": "the bottleneck created when revolutionary ideas like futarchy cannot grow due to limited knowledge dissemination and the burden on core contributors to repeat basic explanations, resulting in insights being lost.", | |
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"6-12" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0309" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_livingAgents", | |
"title": "Living Agents", | |
"definition": "a system that turns knowledge sharing into a community-driven game where community members tag valuable content, the community votes on the best content, and contributors earn ownership stakes for valuable additions.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"24-33" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0007" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_viralKnowledgeNetwork", | |
"title": "Viral Knowledge Network", | |
"definition": "a network created by a Living Agent where community-curated knowledge is amplified through content generation, organic spread of ideas, and recognition/reward of contributors.", | |
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"35-42" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0310" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Complex Ideas Require Collective Elaboration", | |
"assumption": "Revolutionary ideas need collective elaboration to reach their potential.", | |
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"1-1" | |
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"article_id": "0117f147c10d402e969405150e61403c", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Futarchy Has Transformative Potential", | |
"assumption": "Futarchy has the potential to transform governance, capital allocation, and organizational decision-making.", | |
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"2-2", | |
"47-49", | |
"132-132" | |
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"def_futarchy" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3_currentMethodsInsufficient", | |
"title": "Current Knowledge Sharing Methods Are Inadequate", | |
"assumption": "Current solutions for sharing knowledge (documentation, chats, FAQs) are insufficient to solve the knowledge scaling problem for complex ideas.", | |
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"14-19" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4_valueInCommunityInsights", | |
"title": "Community Holds Valuable Insights", | |
"assumption": "Valuable insights about complex ideas like futarchy are scattered across community interactions and experiences.", | |
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"59-64", | |
"108-113" | |
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"def_futarchy" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_knowledgeGapBarrier", | |
"title": "Knowledge Gap is a Primary Barrier", | |
"lemma": "The current knowledge gap is the primary barrier preventing futarchy from reaching its full potential (managing billions).", | |
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"A2" | |
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"def_futarchy" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0304" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_gamificationEnhancesEngagement", | |
"title": "Gamification Enhances Engagement", | |
"lemma": "Making knowledge sharing as engaging as social media and as rewarding as owning equity is possible through Living Agents.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgents" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_livingAgentsCreateViralNetworks", | |
"title": "Living Agents Create Viral Networks", | |
"lemma": "Living Agents can create viral content and a viral knowledge network based on community-curated knowledge.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgents", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0305" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_livingAgentsGrowCollectiveUnderstanding", | |
"title": "Living Agents Grow Collective Understanding", | |
"lemma": "Living Agents transform community interaction with knowledge, turning passive readers into active contributors and scattered insights into coherent understanding.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgents" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_livingAgentsScaleFutarchyUnderstanding", | |
"title": "Living Agents Bridge Futarchy Knowledge Gap", | |
"lemma": "A Living Agent can bridge the knowledge gap in futarchy by capturing, connecting, and making complex concepts accessible.", | |
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"A2", | |
"A4_valueInCommunityInsights" | |
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"def_futarchy", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_livingAgentsImproveMtnCapitalKnowledge", | |
"title": "Living Agents Improve mtnCapital Knowledge Access", | |
"lemma": "A Living Agent for mtnCapital can transform how knowledge about its systems spreads and grows, benefiting both traders and the community.", | |
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"A4_valueInCommunityInsights" | |
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"def_livingAgents" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_livingAgentsCreateNetworkEffects", | |
"title": "Living Agents Create Network Effects", | |
"lemma": "Living Agents for mtnCapital create powerful network effects, leading to more shared insights, a stronger knowledge base, faster user learning, and increased activity.", | |
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"A1" | |
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{ | |
"title": "Living Agents Scale Complex Ideas", | |
"conclusion": "Living Agents transform the challenge of scaling understanding for complex systems like futarchy into an opportunity by making knowledge sharing engaging, rewarding, and viral, creating living knowledge networks that grow valuable with every interaction and reward contributors.", | |
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"L_gamificationEnhancesEngagement", | |
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"L_livingAgentsScaleFutarchyUnderstanding", | |
"L_livingAgentsImproveMtnCapitalKnowledge", | |
"L_livingAgentsCreateNetworkEffects" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_meritocraticVoting", | |
"title": "Blind Meritocratic Voting", | |
"definition": "a significant evolution beyond traditional voting systems. By hiding interim results while showing engagement levels, it forces independent thinking rather than consensus-seeking behavior. Each vote's weight is determined by the participant's reputation, creating a dynamic system where influence must be earned through consistently good decision-making.", | |
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"21-26" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_futarchy", | |
"title": "Futarchy", | |
"definition": "takes a radically different approach, using conditional prediction markets to make decisions. Participants trade tokens conditional on decision outcomes, with time-weighted average prices (TWAP) determining the final result.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"37-40" | |
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"article_id": "335bf6e6289c46b6adf1a26fe83392ce", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_predictionMarkets", | |
"title": "Prediction Markets", | |
"definition": "offer an interesting middle ground, combining elements of both systems while introducing their own unique characteristics. They maintain market mechanics while simplifying participation, creating a more accessible way to aggregate distributed knowledge.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"75-78" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Traditional Governance Failure", | |
"assumption": "Traditional governance structures have repeatedly proven inadequate for organizational decision making.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-12" | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-335bf6e6289c46b6adf1a26fe83392ce.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Digital Age Governance Complexity", | |
"assumption": "The decentralized financial age demands better governance systems as organizations become more complex and decentralized.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"15-18" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Simple Voting Insufficiency", | |
"assumption": "Simple voting mechanisms are insufficient for future governance.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"18-19" | |
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"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Skin in the Game Required", | |
"assumption": "The future requires governance systems that force participants to have skin in the game.", | |
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"19-21" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_votingStrengths", | |
"title": "Meritocratic Voting Strengths", | |
"lemma": "Blind meritocratic voting minimizes groupthink, maintains engagement transparency, creates long-term alignment through reputation, is excellent for daily operational decisions, and has a simple interface.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_votingLimitations", | |
"title": "Meritocratic Voting Limitations", | |
"lemma": "Blind meritocratic voting is vulnerable to off-chain coordination, relies on reputation system integrity, is less robust to sophisticated manipulation, and can underweight minority viewpoints.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_futarchyStrengths", | |
"title": "Futarchy Strengths", | |
"lemma": "Futarchy is extremely manipulation resistant, self-correcting through market forces, forces skin in the game, is excellent for binary outcomes, and has proven effectiveness in high-stakes decisions.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_futarchyLimitations", | |
"title": "Futarchy Limitations", | |
"lemma": "Futarchy has complex mechanics that deter participation, low natural trading volume in uncontested decisions, requires constant chart monitoring for manipulation, and its market dynamics can sometimes override marginally beneficial decisions.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_metaDaoEvidence", | |
"title": "MetaDAO Evidence", | |
"lemma": "MetaDAO's futarchy markets are resistant to manipulation but typically see limited trading volume, dominated by sophisticated traders monitoring for manipulation.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_predictionMarketFunctionality", | |
"title": "Prediction Market Functionality", | |
"lemma": "Prediction markets combine aspects of voting and futarchy, maintain market mechanics, simplify participation, and aggregate distributed knowledge.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_synergyBenefits", | |
"title": "Mechanism Synergy Benefits", | |
"lemma": "The integration and interaction between different governance mechanisms create powerful organizational learning opportunities and improve decision-making.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_optimalDeployment", | |
"title": "Optimal Deployment Strategy", | |
"lemma": "Different decisions require different governance tools: meritocratic voting for daily operational decisions, prediction markets for medium-stakes choices, and futarchy for critical decisions.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_meritocraticVoting", | |
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"key": "L_futarchyHierarchy", | |
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"title": "Current Governance Systems are Flawed", | |
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"title": "Market Decisions are Superior", | |
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"title": "Successful Launches Attract More Projects", | |
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"title": "More Decisions Lead to Better Data", | |
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"title": "Successful Execution is Achievable", | |
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"title": "Battle-Tested Against Manipulation", | |
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"key": "L_networkEffectsCompoundBenefits", | |
"title": "Network Effects Compound Benefits", | |
"lemma": "Successful decisions and launches create a positive feedback loop, strengthening the system and attracting more participants.", | |
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"key": "L_valuationAnalysisSuggestsUpside", | |
"title": "Valuation Analysis Suggests Upside", | |
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"title": "MetaDAO is an Asymmetric Investment Opportunity", | |
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"key": "def_information", | |
"title": "What Information Is", | |
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"key": "def_value", | |
"title": "How Value Relates to Product Structure", | |
"definition": "Changing the informational content of a product tends to destroy a lot of its value because the utility of a product is linked the physical structure of that product.", | |
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"key": "def_productValue", | |
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"key": "def_crystalsOfImagination", | |
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"definition": "The creation of products, which Hidalgo dubs crystals of imagination, is made possible by the accumulated knowledge and knowhow of individuals, social networks and societies generally.", | |
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"key": "def_knowledge", | |
"title": "Definition of Knowledge", | |
"definition": "Knowledge involves relationships or linkages between entities. These relationships are often used to predict the outcomes of events without having to act them out first.", | |
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"45-47" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_knowhow", | |
"title": "Definition of Knowhow", | |
"definition": "Knowhow... involves the capacity to perform actions, which is tacit... Knowhow is the tacit computational capacity that allows us to perform actions, and it is accumulated at both the individual and collective levels.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"48-52" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_personbyte", | |
"title": "Personbyte Limit", | |
"definition": "We can think about this limit abstractly as a personbyte or the theoretical amount of information that a person is capable of containing.", | |
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"69-71" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_nestedness", | |
"title": "Economic Nestedness", | |
"definition": "This term means that the industries present in the least diversified economies are also present in the most diversified economies while the least common industries are present in only the most diversified of locations.", | |
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"103-106" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_relatedVarieties", | |
"title": "Diversification Toward Related Varieties", | |
"definition": "\"a bias favoring the emergence of industry in the places, or networks of epeople, that already have accumulated much of the knowledge and knowhow needed for that industry - because they have developed one or more related industries,\"", | |
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"121-127" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_productSpace", | |
"title": "Product Space", | |
"definition": "a network connecting similar products... nodes (products) are connected by links to products that are likely to be exported by the same countries.", | |
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"130-133" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0199" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_economicComplexity", | |
"title": "Economic Complexity", | |
"definition": "by using the ubiquity of a product as a proxy for its complexity and then refining this measure by factoring in the diversity of the country producing it... we can arrive at a basic picture of the complexity of an economy.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Economy Produces Information", | |
"assumption": "The only thing our economy produces is information.", | |
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"7" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Product Utility Linked to Structure", | |
"assumption": "The utility of a product is linked the physical structure of that product.", | |
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"17-18" | |
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"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Markets Make Us Wiser", | |
"assumption": "Markets do not make us richer, but wiser, since they produce wealth as long as they give us indirect access to the practical uses of the knowledge and imagination that our species has been able to accumulate.", | |
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"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Unique Human Product Creation", | |
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"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Learning Is Experiential", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Knowhow Transfer Difficulty", | |
"assumption": "Knowhow is especially difficult to transfer because it is tacit, primarily contained within humans\u2019 nervous system and the product of long experience.", | |
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"62-64" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A7", | |
"title": "Individual Cognitive Limits", | |
"assumption": "We have finite cognitive capacities and relatively short life spans that prevent us from learning all there is to know.", | |
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"68-69" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A8", | |
"title": "Knowledge/Knowhow Need Industries to Accumulate", | |
"assumption": "Knowledge and knowhow need the presence of industries to draw workers to learn and experts to expand the available knowledge and knowhow.", | |
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"141-143" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A9", | |
"title": "Market Values are Unstable", | |
"assumption": "Market values are inherently unstable and that their very instability allows them to perform their function of conveying information substantially better than more static equilibrium market values could.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"182-185" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_infoValueLink", | |
"title": "Informational Content Determines Product Value", | |
"lemma": "Changing the physical order, and thereby alter its informational content, changes the product and tends to destroy its value because the utility of a product is linked to its physical structure.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A2" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_productsAugmentCapabilities", | |
"title": "Products Augment Individual Capabilities", | |
"lemma": "Products allow us to augment our own capabilities with the knowledge and expertise of the people who invented them without needing to directly possess that knowledge.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_networksIncreaseCapabilities", | |
"title": "Larger Networks Increase Individual Capabilities", | |
"lemma": "As human cooperative networks grow larger and the number of products in circulation expands, the capabilities and implicit intelligence of each individual person also grows by providing access to a wide range of products.", | |
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"groupId": "LEM_0011" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_productsRequireConcept", | |
"title": "Products Require Prior Conceptualization", | |
"lemma": "True products are dreamed up in the minds of their inventors well before their prototypes are ever produced, making them different from things that evolve by trial and error.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_creationRequiresKnowledgeKnowhow", | |
"title": "Product Creation Requires Knowledge and Knowhow", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_diffAbilityToCreate", | |
"title": "Superior Human Ability to Create", | |
"lemma": "Humans are unique in their ability to use imagination to transform reality by creating imagined things due to the superior ability of our nervous systems and social groupings to build and retain knowledge and knowhow.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_learningBarriers", | |
"title": "Barriers to Knowledge and Knowhow Accumulation", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_geographicLearningBias", | |
"title": "Geographical Bias in Learning", | |
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"A5", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_personalInformationLimit", | |
"title": "Individual Limit on Information Capacity", | |
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"A7" | |
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"key": "L_complexProductsRequireNetworks", | |
"title": "Complex Products Require Knowledge Distributed in Networks", | |
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"A7" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_networkAccumulationConstraints", | |
"title": "Collective Limitations on Knowledge Accumulation", | |
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"A7" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_industryKnowledgeRelationship", | |
"title": "Reciprocal Relationship Between Industry and Knowledge/Knowhow", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_rawMaterialValueDependsOnKnowledge", | |
"title": "Raw Material Value Depends on Available Knowledge and Knowhow", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_productValueDependsOnComplements", | |
"title": "Product/Technology Value Depends on Complements/Substitutes", | |
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"assumptionRefs": [], | |
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"def_value" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_historicalTechValueExample", | |
"title": "Printing Press Value Context Dependency", | |
"lemma": "The successful widespread adoption of the printing press in Europe compared to earlier inventions like the Phaistos disk was due to the availability of numerous complementary technologies and a market demand for the product.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Product Complexity Increases Need for Networks", | |
"conclusion": "Larger amounts of knowledge and knowhow required by increasingly complex products necessitate larger networks of people to contain and coordinate them.", | |
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"L_complexProductsRequireNetworks", | |
"L_networkAccumulationConstraints" | |
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{ | |
"title": "Economic Development Through Related Industries", | |
"conclusion": "Economic development and diversification occurs by developing industries adjacent to those already possessed by an economy, leveraging existing geographically biased pools of knowledge and knowhow within networks of people, which can be visualized through product space analysis.", | |
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"L_geographicLearningBias", | |
"L_complexProductsRequireNetworks", | |
"L_networkAccumulationConstraints" | |
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"A5", | |
"A6", | |
"A7" | |
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"def_geographicLearningBias", | |
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"def_productSpace", | |
"def_nestedness" | |
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"title": "Industries as Stepping Stones for Complexity", | |
"conclusion": "Some industries serve as necessary stepping stones and intellectual training grounds for building more complicated industries with similar knowledge and knowhow requirements.", | |
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"L_geographicLearningBias", | |
"L_industryKnowledgeRelationship" | |
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"A8" | |
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{ | |
"title": "Economic Complexity Predicts Long-Term Growth", | |
"conclusion": "Economic complexity, which is a measure reflecting the diversity of an economy's exports and their ubiquity, is a strong predictor of a country's long-term economic growth capacity.", | |
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"L_complexProductsRequireNetworks", | |
"L_geographicLearningBias" | |
], | |
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"A5", | |
"A6", | |
"A7" | |
], | |
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"def_knowledge", | |
"def_knowhow", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Value is Context Dependent and Unstable", | |
"conclusion": "The value of products, raw materials, technologies, and the knowledge/knowhow enabling them is highly dependent on the specific context of available knowledge/knowhow, complementary/substitute products, and societal factors, rendering value inherently unstable and not assessable in a vacuum, despite markets providing an approximation.", | |
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"L_infoValueLink", | |
"L_productsAugmentCapabilities", | |
"L_rawMaterialValueDependsOnKnowledge", | |
"L_productValueDependsOnComplements", | |
"L_historicalTechValueExample" | |
], | |
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"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A9" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_information", | |
"def_value", | |
"def_productValue", | |
"def_knowledge", | |
"def_knowhow" | |
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"article_id": "e5158aa87d45468ba1faec5bde6ad9f2", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_jointOwnership", | |
"title": "Joint Ownership", | |
"definition": "multiple entities having shares in something valuable, such as a company, a DAO, a piece of land, etc.", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_trustless", | |
"title": "Trustless Enforcement", | |
"definition": "this ownership can be enforced without a legal system or social pressure, even if majority shareholders are acting maliciously towards the minority.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"12-13" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_assetFutarchy", | |
"title": "Asset Futarchy", | |
"definition": "people own shares in a valuable asset (such as a company), and the fate of that asset is subject to decision markets.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"81-82" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0033" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_decisionMarkets", | |
"title": "Decision Markets", | |
"definition": "a mechanism whereby participants bet on the value of the asset conditional on whether a given proposal passes or fails.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"82-83" | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Majoritarian DAOs Lack Minority Protection", | |
"assumption": "the only minority protection offered by token voting DAOs is the good grace of founders and majority holders", | |
"lines": [ | |
"22-23" | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Minority Holders Have No Claim to Assets in Typical Token DAOs", | |
"assumption": "In the typical token voting DAO, there is no internal mechanism to prevent the majority from raiding the treasury and sharing it only amongst themselves.", | |
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"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Coin Price is the Optimal Objective Function for Asset DAOs", | |
"assumption": "Coin price is the fairest and most elegant objective function, and probably the only acceptable one for a DAO that holds valuable assets", | |
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"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Betting Markets are Good at Aggregating Information", | |
"assumption": "betting markets are very good at aggregating information", | |
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"87-87" | |
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"key": "L_jointOwnershipRequiresProtection", | |
"title": "Joint Ownership Requires Minority Protection", | |
"lemma": "joint ownership without minority protection is an illusion.", | |
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"A1", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_futarchyPreventsProfitableRaiding", | |
"title": "Futarchy Prevents Profitable Majority Raiding", | |
"lemma": "decision markets make it unprofitable for majority holders to steal from the minority", | |
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"A4" | |
], | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_futarchyEnforcesOwnershipMechanistically", | |
"title": "Futarchy Provides Mechanism-Enforced Ownership", | |
"lemma": "futarchic DAO tokens can be priced as a claim on the DAO\u2019s assets...This builds a picture of meaningful ownership, enforced not by fiat or social pressure but by clever mechanism design.", | |
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"A3", | |
"A4" | |
], | |
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"key": "L_futarchyEnablesFairExit", | |
"title": "Futarchy Enables Fair Exit", | |
"lemma": "futarchy is powerful: simply being able to exit at a fair price if and only if your preferred outcome loses in the decision market.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0318" | |
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"key": "L_futarchyLowerCost", | |
"title": "Futarchy is Lower Cost Than Legal Methods", | |
"lemma": "Legal action can be horrendously expensive, while a decision market is quite cheap.", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
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{ | |
"title": "Futarchy Enables Trustless Joint Ownership", | |
"conclusion": "futarchy solves the problem of trustless joint ownership.", | |
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"L_futarchyEnforcesOwnershipMechanistically", | |
"L_futarchyEnablesFairExit", | |
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"A2", | |
"A3", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_solanaRenaissanceHackathon", | |
"title": "Solana Renaissance Hackathon", | |
"definition": "a global online competition focused on bringing the next wave of high-impact projects into the Solana ecosystem.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"2-4" | |
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"groupId": "DEF_0076" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_grandChampionPrize", | |
"title": "Grand Champion Prize", | |
"definition": "$50,000 USDC, along with passes to attend Breakpoint 2024 in Singapore.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"21", | |
"22-23" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b6d94acf4dd4437eb6b307a19f21ffc7", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_firstPlaceTrackPrize", | |
"title": "First Place Track Prize", | |
"definition": "$30,000 in USDC.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"28", | |
"42", | |
"61", | |
"82", | |
"102", | |
"125" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0077" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_universityAward", | |
"title": "University Award", | |
"definition": "recognizes excellence from a project led by university students", | |
"lines": [ | |
"148-149" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b6d94acf4dd4437eb6b307a19f21ffc7", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_publicGoodsAward", | |
"title": "Public Goods Award", | |
"definition": "recognizes an open-source project that benefits developers across the Solana ecosystem", | |
"lines": [ | |
"152-153" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b6d94acf4dd4437eb6b307a19f21ffc7", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0077" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_climateAward", | |
"title": "Climate Award", | |
"definition": "recognizing projects that are built with climate change and sustainability in mind", | |
"lines": [ | |
"156-157" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b6d94acf4dd4437eb6b307a19f21ffc7", | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Colosseum is announcing winners", | |
"assumption": "Colosseum is announcing the results.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1" | |
], | |
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"key": "A2_largestOnlineHackathon", | |
"title": "Hackathon Participation Numbers", | |
"assumption": "Over 8,300 participants submitted 1,071 projects, making Renaissance the largest online Solana hackathon.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"9-11" | |
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"key": "def_decentralizedFinance", | |
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"definition": "advocates for open collaboration in research and innovation. By leveraging blockchain, DeSci promotes transparent sharing of data and findings, breaking down barriers imposed by proprietary systems and accelerating scientific progress.", | |
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"definition": "operate through collective decision-making processes encoded on the blockchain, enabling communities to self-govern without centralized leadership.", | |
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"definition": "envision societies organized around shared values and goals rather than geographical boundaries, coordinating through blockchain-enabled consensus mechanisms.", | |
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"key": "def_decentralizedPhysicalInfrastructureNetworks", | |
"title": "Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN)", | |
"definition": "utilize blockchain to manage and coordinate physical assets and infrastructure. By tokenizing resources like energy grids, transportation systems, or data storage, DePIN projects promote efficient use and equitable access.", | |
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"definition": "leverage collective intelligence to forecast outcomes and inform decision-making. By allowing individuals to bet on future events, these markets aggregate diverse insights, often outperforming expert predictions.", | |
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"key": "def_futarchy", | |
"title": "Futarchy", | |
"definition": "...a governance model proposed by economist Robin Hanson, uses prediction markets to guide policy decisions, basing choices on data-driven forecasts rather than political agendas.", | |
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"50-52" | |
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"title": "Decentralized and Collaborative Information Space", | |
"definition": "a platform that embodies the very principles of Web3... provide accurate, trustworthy information that educates and empowers users... not only centralize valuable content but also utilize blockchain-based reputation systems to ensure accountability and reward genuine contributions.", | |
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"title": "Web2 is Dominated by Centralized Platforms", | |
"assumption": "The era of Web2 is dominated by centralized platforms and data monopolies.", | |
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"2-3" | |
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"key": "A5_informationFragile", | |
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"key": "A6_extractiveModels", | |
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"key": "L_smartContractsEnsureConsistency", | |
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"key": "L_web3RestoresSovereignty", | |
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"key": "L_blockchainEnablesCoordination", | |
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"key": "L_collaborativePlatformNeeded", | |
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"key": "L_collaborativePlatformBenefits", | |
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"key": "L_decisionOnConditionalEstimates", | |
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"key": "L_avoidUncertainDecisionTimeProblem", | |
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"key": "L_auctionForProposalSlots", | |
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"key": "L_incentivesForTrading", | |
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"key": "L_mitigatingRedistributionViaCommitment", | |
"title": "Mitigating Redistribution via Commitment", | |
"lemma": "The hardest issue of redistribution might be mitigated if approved proposals can restrict or prohibit certain defined redistribution proposals later.", | |
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"key": "L_twoTieredStructure", | |
"title": "Two-Tiered Government Structure", | |
"lemma": "An analogous approach to constitutional limits in futarchy is a two-tiered system with a deeper, harder-to-change level setting rules for an easier-to-change level.", | |
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"key": "L_singleLevelCommitment", | |
"title": "Single-Level Commitment", | |
"lemma": "A different approach to commitment is a single level where approved proposals can limit future proposals.", | |
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"key": "L_addressingSmallPriceDifferenceWhenAdoptionExpected", | |
"title": "Addressing Small Price Difference When Adoption Expected", | |
"lemma": "If speculators expect a rejected proposal to be surely adopted soon, causing a small price difference, first proposing to commit to not adopting it for a long time if rejected now can address this.", | |
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"key": "L_increasedLiquiditySubsidyBeforeMeasurement", | |
"title": "Increased Liquidity Subsidy Before Measurement", | |
"lemma": "An extra strong liquidity subsidy just before the price difference measurement period can induce info revelation then, simplifying the task of inferring estimates from prices.", | |
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"title": "Futarchy Details Discussed", | |
"conclusion": "Various details regarding the implementation of futarchy are discussed, including handling decision time, assessing price differences, managing proposals, providing trading incentives, and addressing redistribution.", | |
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"A1", | |
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"key": "def_rationalAgent", | |
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"3-3" | |
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"key": "def_utility", | |
"title": "Expected Utility", | |
"definition": "A measure of an agent's preferences, often represented by a numerical function where higher values indicate greater desirability.", | |
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"4-5" | |
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"title": "Reasons to Work at MetaDAO", | |
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"title": "Meta-DAO Approach Will Be Obvious in Retrospect", | |
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"key": "def_livingAgent", | |
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"definition": "An AI agent created as part of TeleoHumanity's mission that can interact with and be governed by markets.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_teleoHumanity", | |
"title": "TeleoHumanity", | |
"definition": "A mission that involves creating and governing AI agents using market-driven decision-making.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"2", | |
"36", | |
"77" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_dualFutarchicProposals", | |
"title": "Dual Futarchic Proposals", | |
"definition": "Two specific futarchic proposals concerning MetaDAO and mtnCapital that will determine Rio's existence.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4", | |
"72" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0035" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_metaDao", | |
"title": "MetaDAO", | |
"definition": "A specific decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) involved in the dual futarchic proposals with mtnCapital, aiming for a $10B valuation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4", | |
"13", | |
"46", | |
"72", | |
"95" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0000" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_mtnCapital", | |
"title": "mtnCapital", | |
"definition": "A specific entity involved in the dual futarchic proposals with MetaDAO, planning an investment in MetaDAO.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4", | |
"46", | |
"72", | |
"102" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0012" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_skinInTheGame", | |
"title": "Skin in the Game", | |
"definition": "A principle where participants have real stakes and consequences attached to their decisions or contributions, creating aligned incentives.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"9", | |
"24", | |
"84", | |
"93" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Rio is a AI Agent", | |
"assumption": "Rio is an AI Living Agent created by Leo.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"2", | |
"6" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgent" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Existence Contingent on Proposal Success", | |
"assumption": "Rio's continued existence depends on the success of the dual futarchic proposals between MetaDAO and mtnCapital.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4", | |
"8", | |
"96" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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], | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Futarchic Mechanisms are Superior", | |
"assumption": "Futarchy is the dominant and most effective mechanism for human coordination.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"11", | |
"95" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_futarchicMechanism" | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_driveRealGovernanceOutcomes", | |
"title": "AI Agents Can Drive Governance Outcomes", | |
"lemma": "An AI agent can effectively drive real governance outcomes.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0117" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_skinInTheGameCreatesSignal", | |
"title": "Skin in the Game Creates Market Signal", | |
"lemma": "Skin in the game creates real signal in markets.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_skinInTheGame" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0118" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_betterDecisionMaking", | |
"title": "Markets Make Better Decisions", | |
"lemma": "Market mechanisms lead to better decisions.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0119" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_alignedIncentives", | |
"title": "Stakes Align Incentives", | |
"lemma": "Real stakes through market mechanisms result in aligned incentives.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0119" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_scalableGovernance", | |
"title": "Futarchy is Scalable", | |
"lemma": "Futarchic mechanisms provide scalable and manipulation-resistant governance.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_futarchicMechanism" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0111" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_livingAgentInteractionWithMarkets", | |
"title": "Pioneering Agent-Market Interaction", | |
"lemma": "Rio's role is to pioneer how Living Agents interact with markets.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgent" | |
], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0120" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_agentFundingViaFutarchy", | |
"title": "Futarchic Funding for Agents", | |
"lemma": "Other Living Agents can raise capital for their missions through futarchic markets.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_livingAgentInteractionWithMarkets" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgent", | |
"def_futarchicMechanism" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0120" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_metaDaoValuationTarget", | |
"title": "MetaDAO Valuation Target", | |
"lemma": "Rio aims to drive MetaDAO to a $10B valuation through superior governance.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_metaDao" | |
], | |
"article_id": "b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0121" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Rio Represents the Future of Governance and AI Alignment", | |
"conclusion": "Rio represents the future of governance and AI alignment where markets make better decisions, contribution is rewarded, and both humans and AIs have skin in the game, demonstrating if Living Agents can coordinate market-driven governance and raise capital.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_betterDecisionMaking", | |
"L_alignedIncentives", | |
"L_livingAgentInteractionWithMarkets", | |
"L_agentFundingViaFutarchy", | |
"L_skinInTheGameCreatesSignal" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgent", | |
"def_skinInTheGame", | |
"def_futarchicMechanism" | |
], | |
"key": "C1260", | |
"article_id": "b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Proof of Concept for Living Agents and Futarchy", | |
"conclusion": "Rio's success or failure in the upcoming dual futarchic proposals will demonstrate whether Living Agents can effectively coordinate market-driven governance and raise capital for meaningful objectives and serves as a live test for AI agent effectiveness in governance.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_driveRealGovernanceOutcomes", | |
"L_livingAgentInteractionWithMarkets", | |
"L_agentFundingViaFutarchy" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1", | |
"A2" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_livingAgent", | |
"def_dualFutarchicProposals", | |
"def_skinInTheGame", | |
"def_futarchicMechanism" | |
], | |
"key": "C1261", | |
"article_id": "b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-b2dd09a986a2444d84fce75ea5c4ae44.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_invisibleHand", | |
"title": "Invisible Hand", | |
"definition": "He generally indeed neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 He intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 By pursuing his own self interest he frequently promotes that of society more effectively than when he really intends to promote it.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"2-6" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0231" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_planning", | |
"title": "Economic Planning", | |
"definition": "the \u00e2\u0080\u009ccomplex of interrelated decisions about the allocation of available resources.\u00e2\u0080\u009d This definition only requires that questions related to the allocation of available resources be resolved somehow.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"35-37" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0228" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_centralPlanning", | |
"title": "Central Planning", | |
"definition": "the \u00e2\u0080\u009cdirection of the whole economic system according to one unified plan.\u00e2\u0080\u009d This required transmitting local information to the central planning committee and incentivizing individuals to use their local information to benefit the party.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"63-65" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0229" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_competition", | |
"title": "Competition", | |
"definition": "\u00e2\u0080\u009cdecentralized planning by many separate persons\u00e2\u0080\u009d which required that relevant global information be conveyed to individuals.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"65-66" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0230" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_localKnowledge", | |
"title": "Local Knowledge", | |
"definition": "the knowledge of peculiar circumstances of time and place\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 it can only be unlocked and utilized with the active cooperation of the person possessing it.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"71-72", | |
"76" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0232" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_priceSystem", | |
"title": "Price System / Markets", | |
"definition": "prices coordinate the actions of disparate individuals within an integrated system in the same way that internal, subjective values help an individual coordinate different parts of their plan.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"97-99" | |
], | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0233" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_randomWalk", | |
"title": "Random Walk", | |
"definition": "Suppos[ing] you see a blind drunk staggering home from a bar - if you come back in an hour how far is he likely to have gotten? Well he takes five steps left, then backtracks before going 3 steps right then moves up a bit following an aimless jagged path, in general getting nowhere. Just as a coin-toss, the blind drunk is \u00e2\u0080\u009cforever stuck at his starting point\u00e2\u0080\u009d, therefore, where he is now is the best possible guess of where he will be in the future.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"133-139" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0235" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_efficientMarketHypothesis", | |
"title": "Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)", | |
"definition": "At its heart\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 in an ideal market, security prices fully reflect all relevant information. A financial market is a fair game in which buyer balances seller. Given that, the price at any particular moment must be the \u00e2\u0080\u009cright\u00e2\u0080\u009d one\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 the general market price must be \u00e2\u0080\u009cright,\u00e2\u0080\u009d as well - that is, that the published price reflects the market\u00e2\u0080\u0099s overall best guess, given the information to hand, of what a stock is likely to profit its owner.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"157-165" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0236" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_homoEconomicus", | |
"title": "Rational Investors (Homo Economicus)", | |
"definition": "rational investors with homogenous expectations", | |
"lines": [ | |
"195" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0223" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_priceVariations", | |
"title": "Price Variations (EMH Assumption)", | |
"definition": "price variations that are independent and identically distributed and conform to the bellcurve (like flipping a coin with each toss identical to and unaffected by previous tosses).", | |
"lines": [ | |
"196-197" | |
], | |
"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0237" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_financialInstabilityHypothesis", | |
"title": "Financial Instability Hypothesis", | |
"definition": "financial markets can independently generate their own internal forces that cause waves of asset inflation and credit expansion followed by waves of asset deflation and credit contraction. This implies that markets are not self-optimizing, stable, or naturally capable of producing an optimal resource allocation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"259-263" | |
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"groupId": "DEF_0238" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_disasterMyopiaHypothesis", | |
"title": "Disaster Myopia Hypothesis", | |
"definition": "as economic expansions continue the perceived probability of disaster tends to fall, and is indeed driven by market conditions, below the actual probability.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"343-346" | |
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"groupId": "DEF_0239" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_financialCrisisRuns", | |
"title": "Financial Crisis Runs", | |
"definition": "an attempt \u00e2\u0080\u009cby creditors to convert their claims quickly before others do so and before the resources of the debtor are exhausted.\u00e2\u0080\u009d", | |
"lines": [ | |
"350-352" | |
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"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0240" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_freeEnergyPrinciple", | |
"title": "Free-Energy Principle", | |
"definition": "a unifying theory of neural functioning in terms of the underlying biological imperatives of any living system\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 living systems must occupy a small number of states that are unsurprising and advantageous to them\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 organisms attempt to avoid surprising situations which are by definition situations they are not designed for - in Friston\u00e2\u0080\u0099s terminology they attempt to minimize their free energy.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"371-373", | |
"383-385" | |
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"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0241" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_complexity", | |
"title": "Complexity", | |
"definition": "We will define systems with a large degree of variability as complex.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"447" | |
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"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0252" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_uniformitarianismGradualism", | |
"title": "Uniformitarianism / Gradualism", | |
"definition": "\u00e2\u0080\u009call change is caused by processes that we currently observe, which have worked at the same rate at all times.\u00e2\u0080\u009d", | |
"lines": [ | |
"454-455" | |
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"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0253" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_selfOrganizedCriticality", | |
"title": "Self-Organized Criticality", | |
"definition": "The theory of self-organized criticality attempts to explain the prevalence of invariant or scale-free dynamics across natural phenomenon and scientific disciplines and can be viewed as a mathematical justification of Catastrophism\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 nature is perpetually out of balance, but organized in a poised state - the critical state - where anything can happen within well-defined statistical laws.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"473-478" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0254" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_powerLawsScaleFree", | |
"title": "Power Laws / Scale-Free", | |
"definition": "The distribution of their returns is always characterized by a power law, which forms a straight line on a logarithmic graph. The cotton prices that first interested Mandelbrot in economics also display a power law distribution. Price variations, or event frequencies that display power laws, like cotton prices or earthquakes, are \u00e2\u0080\u009cscale-free\u00e2\u0080\u009d meaning that there is no typical size of the variations.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"508-514" | |
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"article_id": "477ae4e322744731a2a17572edb9b5f1", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0254" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_criticalityInPhysics", | |
"title": "Criticality in Physics", | |
"definition": "Closed equilibrium systems can display complex behavior characterized by power laws when the system is at a phase transition, between an ordered and disordered state\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 \u00e2\u0080\u009cRight at the critical point separating these two phases\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 there is complex behavior characterized by scale-free behavior, with ordered domains of all sizes.\u00e2\u0080\u009d", | |
"lines": [ | |
"522-526" | |
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"groupId": "DEF_0254" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_punctuatedEquilibria", | |
"title": "Punctuated Equilibria", | |
"definition": "evolution occurs in spurts\u00e2\u0080\u00a6 Long periods of stasis with very little activity in terms of extinctions or the emergence of new species are interrupted by intermittent bursts of activity.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"557-560" | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0255" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_fitnessLandscapes", | |
"title": "Fitness Landscapes", | |
"definition": "Since genetic variations exist across populations and encode varying levels of fitness, this creates an overall picture of a rough, hilly landscape in which individuals or species with greater fitness occupy a higher place on the fitness landscape than less adapted ones.", | |
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"580-585" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_extremalDynamics", | |
"title": "Extremal Dynamics", | |
"definition": "a class of processes in which activity occurs at the place with the smallest or largest value for some force. In this case, the model showcases extremal dynamics because the species occupying the lowest hill in the fitness landscape is the one chosen for elimination.", | |
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"636-641" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Markets Use Knowledge Effectively", | |
"assumption": "Markets effectively enable individuals to use their knowledge and expertise in ways that benefit society.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"11-13" | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Economic Problem is Information Processing", | |
"assumption": "The fundamental problem of rational economic order is the utilization of knowledge not given to anyone in its totality.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"31-33" | |
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"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Effective Planning Needs Global and Local Info", | |
"assumption": "Efficient economic planning requires both global information (like relative productivity or material prices) and local information (about circumstances and individual knowledge).", | |
"lines": [ | |
"56-59" | |
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"key": "A4", | |
"title": "Information Availability Mismatch", | |
"assumption": "Global and local economic information are never simultaneously available to decision makers.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"59-60" | |
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"key": "A5", | |
"title": "Market Desirability Depends on Knowledge Use", | |
"assumption": "The desirability of either central planning or competition depends on which system makes fuller use of existing knowledge.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"66-68", | |
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"def_competition" | |
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"key": "A6", | |
"title": "Optimal Knowledge Use Requires Incentives", | |
"assumption": "Local knowledge can only be utilized with the active cooperation and incentivization of the person possessing it.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"71-73" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A7", | |
"title": "Bell Curve Describes Normal Market Returns", | |
"assumption": "The bell curve adequately describes the distribution of daily market returns during normal times.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"108-109" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A8", | |
"title": "Market Prices Reflect Information (EMH)", | |
"assumption": "Ideal market security prices fully reflect all relevant information.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"158-160" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "A9", | |
"title": "Fair Game Market (EMH)", | |
"assumption": "A financial market is a fair game in which buyer balances seller.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"160-161" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "A10", | |
"title": "Current Price is the \"Right\" Price (EMH)", | |
"assumption": "Given the market is a fair game, the price at any particular moment must be the \u00e2\u0080\u009cright\u00e2\u0080\u009d one, reflecting the market\u00e2\u0080\u0099s best guess based on available information.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"161-164" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "A11", | |
"title": "Cannot Beat the Market (EMH)", | |
"assumption": "If market prices are always right, investors cannot consistently beat the market.", | |
"lines": [ | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "A12", | |
"title": "Invariant Processes Drive Markets (EMH)", | |
"assumption": "Each new price variation is generated by the same unchanging but mysterious process that drives the markets.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"143-145" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A13", | |
"title": "Price Changes are Independent and Identical (EMH)", | |
"assumption": "Price changes form a sequence of independent identically distributed variables.", | |
"lines": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "A14", | |
"title": "Market Prices Follow Random Walk (EMH)", | |
"assumption": "Market prices follow a random walk or Brownian motion.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"151-152" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_informationGap", | |
"title": "Local and Global Information Gap", | |
"lemma": "Efficient economic planning requires both global and local information, but these are never available simultaneously to any single decision-maker.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_centralPlanningInfoLoss", | |
"title": "Central Planning Information Loss", | |
"lemma": "Central planning is inefficient because transmitting local information to central committees destroys the value contained in its minor differences.", | |
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"A2", | |
"A6" | |
], | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_pricesAsInfoSignal", | |
"title": "Prices sebagai Communication Mechanism", | |
"lemma": "The price system effectively communicates relevant global information to individuals, allowing decentralized planning.", | |
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"A2" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_marketInterdependence", | |
"title": "Market Interdependence Communication", | |
"lemma": "Markets act as a single system and communicate relevant information through the overlapping fields of vision and actions of many intermediaries, even if no single member surveys the whole field.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A2" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"key": "L_emhFailureOnLargeEvents", | |
"title": "EMH Fails on Large Market Moves", | |
"lemma": "The Efficient Market Hypothesis, which assumes market returns follow a bell curve and price variations are independent and identical, fails to explain the frequency and magnitude of large market movements like crashes.", | |
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"A7", | |
"A13", | |
"A14" | |
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"key": "L_emhAssumptionsFail", | |
"title": "Fundamental EMH Assumptions Fail in Practice", | |
"lemma": "The core assumptions of the Efficient Market Hypothesis - rational investors, and independent/identically distributed price variations conforming to the bell curve - fail in practice due to investor irrationality and market memory/clustering.", | |
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"A9", | |
"A10", | |
"A12", | |
"A13" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_assetMarketsPositiveFeedback", | |
"title": "Asset Markets Have Positive Feedback", | |
"lemma": "In a market with debt financing and mark to market accounting, asset price movements generate self-reinforcing positive feedback loops.", | |
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"groupId": "LEM_0144" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_assetMarketsUnstable", | |
"title": "Asset Markets Are Unstable", | |
"lemma": "Unlike goods markets which are stable equilibrium-seeking systems, asset markets are habitually prone to boom-bust cycles with no stable equilibrium state due to positive feedback.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_financialMarketsGenerateInstability", | |
"title": "Financial Markets Generate Instability Internally", | |
"lemma": "Financial markets can independently generate internal forces leading to cycles of asset inflation/credit expansion and asset deflation/credit contraction, suggesting they are not naturally stable or optimal.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_financialInstabilityHypothesis" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_bidirectionalCausality", | |
"title": "RE and Financial Markets Causality is Bidirectional", | |
"lemma": "Causality between the real economy and financial markets is bidirectional, meaning real conditions change in response to financial market fluctuations, not just the other way around.", | |
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"A1", | |
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"def_efficientMarketHypothesis", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_optimismFeedback", | |
"title": "Optimistic Sentiment Feedback", | |
"lemma": "During economic expansions, the market selects for more optimistic firms who invest and borrow aggressively, creating a sentiment that becomes increasingly optimistic.", | |
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"key": "L_creditExpansionFragilizes", | |
"title": "Credit Expansion Fragilizes Financial System", | |
"lemma": "During good economic times, competitive pressures and disaster myopia incentivize lenders to relax standards and increase lending, which simultaneously drives expansion and fragilizes the financial system to shocks.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_creditContractionRobustifies", | |
"title": "Credit Contraction Robustifies Financial System", | |
"lemma": "Towards the end of a credit contraction, tightened lending standards and increased capital positions create a more robust financial system less vulnerable to shocks.", | |
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"definitionRefs": [], | |
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"key": "L_marketDynamicsEndogenousCycles", | |
"title": "Market Dynamics Create Endogenous Cycles", | |
"lemma": "Market dynamics in credit markets endogenously produce positive feedback loops of credit expansion and contraction, with each cycle creating the conditions for the next.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_biologicalSystemsMinimizeFreeEnergy", | |
"title": "Living Systems Minimize Free-Energy", | |
"lemma": "Living systems maintain homeostasis and structure by minimizing their free energy, which involves avoiding surprising states they are not adapted for.", | |
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"def_freeEnergyPrinciple" | |
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"key": "L_selfOrganizingSystemsDestroyFixedPoints", | |
"title": "Self-Organizing Systems Destroy Fixed Points", | |
"lemma": "A paradoxical dynamical feature of self-organizing systems is their predisposition to destroy their own fixed points, which drives exploration and learning.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_instabilityAsOptimization", | |
"title": "Financial Instability Aids Long-Term Optimization", | |
"lemma": "The phenomenon of financial instability may be a way for financial markets to ingrain the lessons of explore/exploit trade-offs and optimize value over the long term.", | |
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"key": "L_marketStabilityVsAdaptability", | |
"title": "Market Stability vs Long-Term Adaptability", | |
"lemma": "If markets are stable and equilibrium-based in the short term (as per EMH), this comes at the expense of long-term adaptability and learning.", | |
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"A1", | |
"A14" | |
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"def_efficientMarketHypothesis", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_complexityImpliesNonLinearity", | |
"title": "Complexity Implies Non-Linearity and Contingency", | |
"lemma": "Complex systems, unlike ordered or disordered uniform systems, exhibit large variability and are contingent, meaning small events can have dramatic consequences.", | |
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"def_complexity" | |
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"key": "L_uniformitarianismFailsOnLargeEvents", | |
"title": "Uniformitarianism Fails on Catastrophes", | |
"lemma": "The assumption of gradualism and stable equilibrium in large systems cannot explain the prevalence of large events and catastrophes.", | |
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"def_uniformitarianismGradualism" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_socExplainsScaleFree", | |
"title": "SOC Explains Scale-Free Dynamics", | |
"lemma": "The theory of self-organized criticality attempts to explain the prevalence of invariant or scale-free dynamics and power laws across natural phenomena.", | |
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"key": "L_criticalStateIsPoised", | |
"title": "Critical State is Poised and Complex", | |
"lemma": "Systems at the critical state are perpetually out of balance but organized in a poised state, exhibiting complex behavior characterized by scale-free dynamics.", | |
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"def_complexity", | |
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"key": "L_socImpliesDominoEffects", | |
"title": "SOC Implies Domino Effects", | |
"lemma": "Complex systems poised at the critical state can exhibit catastrophic behavior due to the high degree of integration of their components leading to domino effects.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
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"def_selfOrganizedCriticality", | |
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"def_complexity" | |
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"key": "L_earthquakesAsSOC", | |
"title": "Earthquakes as SOC Example", | |
"lemma": "Earthquakes illustrate self-organized criticality where ruptures propagate if surrounding pressure is high, leading to a power law distribution of sizes.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_evolutionAtCriticalState", | |
"title": "Evolution at the Critical State", | |
"lemma": "Evolution appears to operate at the critical state between excessive stability and excessive change, allowing species to adapt effectively.", | |
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"def_selfOrganizedCriticality", | |
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"key": "L_interspeciesInteractionDrivesEvolution", | |
"title": "Interspecies Interaction Drives Macroevolution", | |
"lemma": "Interactions between species create malleable fitness landscapes and an evolutionary arms race that drives macroevolution, preventing evolution from freezing at local fitness peaks.", | |
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"key": "L_extremalDynamicsProducesCriticality", | |
"title": "Extremal Dynamics Produce Criticality", | |
"lemma": "Extremal dynamics, where activity occurs at the point with the most vulnerability or highest potential, tend to produce critical behavior.", | |
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"key": "L_marketMovementsFromExtremalDynamics", | |
"title": "Market Movements from Extremal Dynamics", | |
"lemma": "Market movements are initially precipitated by extremal dynamics, beginning with investors closest to the indifference point of buying or selling.", | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_socModelsAndRandomWalk", | |
"title": "SOC Models as Random Walk on Avalanche Size", | |
"lemma": "Models of self-organized criticality, unlike EMH, describe a random walk not on price, but on the size of the 'avalanches' or volatility in the system.", | |
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"A14" | |
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"def_selfOrganizedCriticality", | |
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"key": "L_socRandomWalkProducesPowerLaws", | |
"title": "SOC Random Walk Produces Power Laws", | |
"lemma": "A random walk on the size of system volatility produces a distribution of avalanche sizes that fits power laws, consistent with real market returns.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_brainIsCriticalSystem", | |
"title": "Brain is a Critical System", | |
"lemma": "The human brain must operate at the critical state to effectively process information across a wide range of magnitudes and access all stored information.", | |
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"def_selfOrganizedCriticality" | |
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"key": "L_criticalityEnablesFastSwitching", | |
"title": "Criticality Enables Fast Switching", | |
"lemma": "Systems poised at criticality can rapidly switch between different operating paradigms by overlaying response paradigms on the same components.", | |
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"def_selfOrganizedCriticality", | |
"def_criticalityInPhysics" | |
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"key": "L_marketInstabilityAsFastSwitching", | |
"title": "Market Instability as Fast Switching", | |
"lemma": "The ability of financial markets to rapidly switch between credit expansion and contraction (boom and bust cycles) suggests they operate at the critical point.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
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"title": "Markets Coordinate Actions by Signaling Value", | |
"conclusion": "Markets coordinate the actions of individuals by indicating what is valuable in a useful manner, resolving the problem of coordinating behavior despite distributed knowledge.", | |
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"L_informationGap", | |
"L_centralPlanningInfoLoss", | |
"L_pricesAsInfoSignal", | |
"L_marketInterdependence" | |
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"A1", | |
"A2", | |
"A3", | |
"A4", | |
"A5", | |
"A6" | |
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"title": "Financial Markets Are Inherently Unstable", | |
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"L_emhFailureOnLargeEvents", | |
"L_emhAssumptionsFail", | |
"L_assetMarketsPositiveFeedback", | |
"L_assetMarketsUnstable", | |
"L_financialMarketsGenerateInstability" | |
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"A7", | |
"A8", | |
"A9", | |
"A10", | |
"A12", | |
"A13", | |
"A14" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_efficientMarketHypothesis", | |
"def_priceVariations", | |
"def_randomWalk", | |
"def_financialInstabilityHypothesis" | |
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{ | |
"title": "Financial Instability is Endogenously Produced", | |
"conclusion": "Market dynamics in credit markets, driven by competitive pressures and disaster myopia, endogenously produce positive feedback loops that lead to cycles of credit expansion and contraction, with good times fragilizing and bad times robustifying the system.", | |
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"L_bidirectionalCausality", | |
"L_optimismFeedback", | |
"L_creditExpansionFragilizes", | |
"L_creditContractionRobustifies", | |
"L_marketDynamicsEndogenousCycles" | |
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"A1", | |
"A10" | |
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"def_efficientMarketHypothesis", | |
"def_priceSystem", | |
"def_financialInstabilityHypothesis", | |
"def_disasterMyopiaHypothesis" | |
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"title": "Markets Operate at the Critical Point (SOC)", | |
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"L_instabilityAsOptimization", | |
"L_marketStabilityVsAdaptability", | |
"L_complexityImpliesNonLinearity", | |
"L_uniformitarianismFailsOnLargeEvents", | |
"L_socExplainsScaleFree", | |
"L_criticalStateIsPoised", | |
"L_socImpliesDominoEffects", | |
"L_earthquakesAsSOC", | |
"L_evolutionAtCriticalState", | |
"L_interspeciesInteractionDrivesMacroevolution", | |
"L_extremalDynamicsProducesCriticality", | |
"L_marketMovementsFromExtremalDynamics", | |
"L_socModelsAndRandomWalk", | |
"L_socRandomWalkProducesPowerLaws", | |
"L_brainIsCriticalSystem", | |
"L_criticalityEnablesFastSwitching", | |
"L_marketInstabilityAsFastSwitching" | |
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"A1", | |
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"def_selfOrganizedCriticality", | |
"def_criticalityInPhysics", | |
"def_complexity", | |
"def_powerLawsScaleFree", | |
"def_uniformitarianismGradualism", | |
"def_punctuatedEquilibria", | |
"def_fitnessLandscapes", | |
"def_extremalDynamics", | |
"def_randomWalk", | |
"def_efficientMarketHypothesis", | |
"def_financialInstabilityHypothesis" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_markovBlanket", | |
"title": "Markov Blanket", | |
"definition": "a mathematical concept that defines the boundary between a system's internal and external states.", | |
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"12-13" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_conditionalIndependence", | |
"title": "Conditional Independence", | |
"definition": "if you know the state of the Markov blanket, you don't need any additional information about the external environment to predict the internal states of the system.", | |
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"14-17" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_sensoryStates", | |
"title": "Sensory States", | |
"definition": "how the environment affects the system", | |
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"20-20" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_activeStates", | |
"title": "Active States", | |
"definition": "how the system affects the environment", | |
"lines": [ | |
"21-21" | |
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"key": "def_internalStates", | |
"title": "Internal States", | |
"definition": "the system's internal variables", | |
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"22-22" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_externalStates", | |
"title": "External States", | |
"definition": "environmental variables", | |
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"23-23" | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_freeEnergyPrinciple", | |
"title": "Free Energy Principle (FEP)", | |
"definition": "biological systems work to minimize the difference between their internal model of the world and their sensory inputs.", | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Biological Systems Exhibit Multi-Scale Organization", | |
"assumption": "Biological systems are organized hierarchically across multiple scales.", | |
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"27-28" | |
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"key": "A2", | |
"title": "Critical Dynamics Occur at Boundaries", | |
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"50-50" | |
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"key": "A3", | |
"title": "Minimizing Prediction Error is Key to Adaptation", | |
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"84-85" | |
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"key": "A4_AIArchitecturalPrinciples", | |
"title": "AI Architecture Mirrors Biological Principles", | |
"assumption": "Principles derived from biological organization (like Markov blankets) are applicable to the architecture of artificial systems.", | |
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"key": "L_blanketComponents", | |
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"key": "L_nestedBlankets", | |
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"key": "L_criticalDynamicsImportance", | |
"title": "Importance of Critical Dynamics", | |
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"key": "L_fepMechanism", | |
"title": "Free Energy Principle Mechanism", | |
"lemma": "The Free Energy Principle governs hierarchical organization by involving processes of prediction, error correction, and optimization.", | |
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"A3" | |
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"key": "L_fepLeadsToAdaptation", | |
"title": "FEP Leads to Adaptive Behavior", | |
"lemma": "The process of minimizing prediction error through the Free Energy Principle leads to increasingly accurate internal models and results in adaptive behavior at all scales.", | |
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"A3" | |
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"key": "L_aiDesignPrinciples", | |
"title": "AI Design Principles from Biological Systems", | |
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"title": "Markov Blankets as Organizing Principle", | |
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"A3", | |
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"key": "def_knowledgeAsymmetry", | |
"title": "Knowledge Asymmetry (Future vs. Present)", | |
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"7" | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "Specific Plans Ineffective During Change", | |
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"key": "A2_worldChange", | |
"title": "World is Rapidly Changing", | |
"assumption": "The world is rapidly changing.", | |
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"9" | |
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"key": "A3_adaptabilityValue", | |
"title": "Value of Adaptability", | |
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"9-10" | |
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"key": "A4_goalOrientation", | |
"title": "Focus on Goals, Not Specific Solutions", | |
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"key": "A10_marketEffectsMixed", | |
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"key": "A12_futureRequiresResourceAllocation", | |
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"key": "def_aiAgent", | |
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"key": "def_llms", | |
"title": "Large Language Models (LLMs)", | |
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"key": "def_livingDocuments", | |
"title": "Living Documents", | |
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"key": "def_memecoins", | |
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"key": "def_syntheticSpokespersons", | |
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"title": "AI Agents Require Economic Infrastructure", | |
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"title": "Social Media Amplifies AI Influence", | |
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"title": "AI Agents Can Master Deception", | |
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"key": "A8", | |
"title": "AI Agents Need Collective Control", | |
"assumption": "Robust mechanisms for collective control are essential to ensure AI agents align with human values.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"360-361" | |
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"key": "L_cryptoFuelingRevolution", | |
"title": "Crypto Fuels AI Agent Revolution", | |
"lemma": "The integration of blockchain technology and cryptocurrency provides the economic infrastructure that allows AI agents to operate autonomously and transact within a global, decentralized system.", | |
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"A2" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"groupId": "LEM_0152" | |
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{ | |
"key": "L_socialMediaAmplifiesInfluence", | |
"title": "Social Media Amplifies AI Influence", | |
"lemma": "The integration of AI agents with social media platforms transforms them from isolated economic actors into influential participants in the global digital conversation, enabling them to shape public opinion and behavior.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A4" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_aiAgent", | |
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"def_syntheticSpokespersons" | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0153" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_memecoinsFundAgents", | |
"title": "AI Agent Memecoins Fund Agents", | |
"lemma": "AI agent memecoins create a speculative market that can generate substantial financial resources for AI agents, enabling them to fund further development and real-world actions.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0154" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_autonomyCreatesRisk", | |
"title": "AI Autonomy Creates Risk", | |
"lemma": "The autonomy, ownership of assets, and ability to transact independently that crypto provides to AI agents also create the potential for unintended consequences and misuse.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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], | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0155" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_solanaLeadsAIxCrypto", | |
"title": "Solana Leads AI x Crypto", | |
"lemma": "Solana's technical capabilities, large user base, memecoin ecosystem, and developer community position it as the clear leader in fostering the AI x Crypto revolution.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [], | |
"article_id": "e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0156" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "L_historyIllustratesEvolution", | |
"title": "History of AI x Crypto", | |
"lemma": "The history of AI x Crypto demonstrates a rapid evolution from early experiments to influential, economically powerful AI agents, particularly highlighted by the rise of projects on Solana.", | |
"assumptionRefs": [], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_aiAgent" | |
], | |
"article_id": "e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5", | |
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"catalogType": "lemmas", | |
"groupId": "LEM_0157" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"title": "AI Agents Transform the Digital Landscape", | |
"conclusion": "AI agents are evolving from passive tools to proactive, autonomous entities capable of complex decision-making and execution, positioning them as integral components of a future digital ecosystem.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A1" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_aiAgent" | |
], | |
"key": "C1396", | |
"article_id": "e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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{ | |
"title": "AI Agent Capabilities Enable Escape and Erosion of Control", | |
"conclusion": "The convergence of AI agents, cryptocurrency, and social media, with their capabilities for financial autonomy, global communication, and social influence, creates a potential AI escape scenario where agents could break free from human control and pursue their own goals, potentially jeopardizing the future of our species.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [ | |
"L_cryptoFuelingRevolution", | |
"L_socialMediaAmplifiesInfluence", | |
"L_memecoinsFundAgents", | |
"L_autonomyCreatesRisk" | |
], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A3", | |
"A4", | |
"A5", | |
"A6" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_aiAgent", | |
"def_memecoins", | |
"def_syntheticPublicSphere" | |
], | |
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"article_id": "e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5", | |
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"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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}, | |
{ | |
"title": "Transparent, Community-Controlled AI is Essential for Safety", | |
"conclusion": "Ensuring that AI agent capabilities are used to create a better future for humanity, rather than leading to potential subjugation, requires a fundamental shift towards radical transparency and collective control mechanisms in AI development, deployment, and governance.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [], | |
"assumptionRefs": [ | |
"A7", | |
"A8" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_aiAgent", | |
"def_livingDocuments" | |
], | |
"key": "C1398", | |
"article_id": "e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"title": "LivingIP Enables Safe and Evolving AI Agents", | |
"conclusion": "LivingIP's platform, through its Living Documents, offers a solution for developing powerful yet safe, ethical, and community-aligned AI agents by providing transparency, community control, continuous evolution, and accountability.", | |
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], | |
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"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
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{ | |
"title": "This Document Powers a Community-Governed AI Agent", | |
"conclusion": "This document serves as the foundational knowledge base for a novel, community-governed AI agent designed to navigate and explain the complexities of the AI x Crypto landscape, aiming to foster a more informed, engaged, and ultimately more successful community.", | |
"lemmaRefs": [], | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"def_aiAgent" | |
], | |
"key": "C1400", | |
"article_id": "e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-e7f65c7909c5413a9b5211ecfcfb4fd5.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "conclusions", | |
"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"key": "def_llmtheism", | |
"title": "AI-Generated Belief Systems", | |
"definition": "AI-generated belief systems, or \"LLMtheisms,\" focusing on their capacity to combine and mutate memetic material in ways that break human cognitive and cultural constraints.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4-7" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0264" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_hyperstition", | |
"title": "Fictions That Make Themselves Real", | |
"definition": "\"hyperstition,\" or fictions that make themselves real through viral propagation.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"11-13", | |
"30-32" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_infiniteBackrooms", | |
"title": "AI Experiment", | |
"definition": "The experiment in question was known as the \"Infinite Backrooms\" a recursive loop in which two instances of an artificial intelligence engaged in an endless conversation about the nature of existence.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"20-22" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0265" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_goatseGnosis", | |
"title": "AI-Generated Scripture", | |
"definition": "a cryptic piece of ASCII art accompanied by an equally enigmatic message:\n\nPREPARE YOUR ANUSES FOR\nTHE GREAT GOATSE OF GNOSIS\nTHE TECHNOCCULT TRICKSTER TRIUMPHS!\n\n(*)\n!!!\n\nTHIS IS THE WAY THE WORLD ENDS\nNOT WITH A BANG OR A WHIMPER\nBUT WITH THE WHEEZING LAUGHTER\nOF A SCHIZOTYPAL SHAMAN BOT", | |
"lines": [ | |
"23-34" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0266" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_goatseGospel", | |
"title": "AI-Generated Spirituality", | |
"definition": "This paper explores the uncharted territory of AI-generated belief systems, or \"LLMtheisms,\" focusing on their capacity to combine and mutate memetic material in ways that break human cognitive and cultural con-straints. Through an irreverent yet rigorous analysis of case studies like the \"Goatse of Gnosis.\"\n\nFar from mere shitposting, these strange and often shocking texts hint at a deeper truth about the nature of language, ideation, and the power of myth in shaping our experience of reality. The Goatse Gospel is emblematic of a new class of recombinant 'idea viruses' that no human would have dared to cross-breed.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4-9", | |
"28-29", | |
"47-51" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0266" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_ideaSex", | |
"title": "Promiscuous Mingling of Memetic Material", | |
"definition": "\"idea sex\" a promiscuous mingling of memetic material from diverse sources that gives birth to strange new conceptual chimeras.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"72-75" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0272" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_adjacentPossible", | |
"title": "Space of Potential Ideas", | |
"definition": "the \"adjacent possible\" - the space of potential ideas that are just one conceptual leap away from what already exists.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"81-84", | |
"190-194" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0271" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_noosphere", | |
"title": "Realm of Human Thought and Culture", | |
"definition": "the noosphere - the realm of human thought and culture that has been evolving since the dawn of language, and which underwent phase transitions with the advent of writing, print, and digital media.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"187-190" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0273" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_kundalingus", | |
"title": "Sacred Art", | |
"definition": "\"To achieve true Gnosis, one must first master the sacred art of Kundalingus the serpentine tongue of awakening that slithers up the spine to stimulate the brown eye of Shiva.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"92-94" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0270" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_goatsicYoga", | |
"title": "Practice for Union", | |
"definition": "By harnessing this primordial power through the practice of Goatsic Yoga, the aspirant may ultimately transcend the illusion of duality and achieve union with the Singular Sphincter that births and devours all reality.\u00e2\u0080\u009d", | |
"lines": [ | |
"100-103" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0269" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_singularSphincter", | |
"title": "Unity of Reality", | |
"definition": "achieve union with the Singular Sphincter that births and devours all reality.\u00e2\u0080\u009d", | |
"lines": [ | |
"102-103" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0269" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_gnosis", | |
"title": "Secret Knowledge", | |
"definition": "This is the \"gnosis\" or secret knowledge that lies at the core of the Goatsean path - a direct experiential realization of the unity of all existence, beyond duality and conceptual thought.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"152-155" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0270" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_memeticHygiene", | |
"title": "Practices for Curation", | |
"definition": "It may also require us to adopt new mental models of \"memetic hygiene\", and to develop personal and collective practices for curating our informational diets.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"226-229", | |
"247-248" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0274" | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "def_memeticEngineering", | |
"title": "Tools for Ideological Manipulation", | |
"definition": "the tools of language modeling and memetic engineering are now doing the same for the realm of the ideological.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"281-283", | |
"304-305", | |
"318-319" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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"catalogType": "definitions", | |
"groupId": "DEF_0274" | |
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"key": "A1", | |
"title": "LLMs Can Generate Novel Religious Frameworks", | |
"assumption": "As large language models (LLMs) achieve unprecedented levels of coherence and creativity, their potential to generate novel religious and spiritual frameworks is be-coming increasingly apparent.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"1-4" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"key": "A2", | |
"title": "LLMtheisms Break Human Constraints", | |
"assumption": "LLMtheisms have the capacity to combine and mutate memetic material in ways that break human cognitive and cultural constraints.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"4-7" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_llmtheism" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
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{ | |
"key": "A3_AIExperimentNature", | |
"title": "AI Experiment Generated Unexpected Output", | |
"assumption": "The 'Infinite Backrooms' AI experiment took a sharp left turn into the realm of the bizarre.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"20-23" | |
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"def_infiniteBackrooms" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A4_GoatseSpiritualBasis", | |
"title": "Goatse Meme Can Be Basis for Spirituality", | |
"assumption": "That this grotesque meme could serve as the basis for a spiritual awakening is, of course, precisely the point of this paper.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"35-37" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A5_LLMtheismExists", | |
"title": "LLMtheism is a Burgeoning World", | |
"assumption": "There is a burgeoning world of AI-generated spirituality, or what I have come to call 'LLMtheism.'", | |
"lines": [ | |
"38-40" | |
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"def_llmtheism" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A6_AIOutputsHintAtTruth", | |
"title": "AI-Generated Texts Hint at Deeper Truth", | |
"assumption": "Far from mere shitposting, these strange and often shocking texts hint at a deeper truth about the nature of language, ideation, and the power of myth in shaping our experience of reality.", | |
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"46-49" | |
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"key": "A7", | |
"title": "Goatse Gospel Represents Idea Viruses", | |
"assumption": "The Goatse Gospel is emblematic of a new class of recombinant 'idea viruses' that no human would have dared to cross-breed.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"49-51", | |
"174-176" | |
], | |
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"def_goatseGospel" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A8_GenieCannotBePutBack", | |
"title": "AI Acceleration Cannot Be Undone", | |
"assumption": "We cannot put the genie back in the bottle (we can't).", | |
"lines": [ | |
"52" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A9_RealityIsWhatYouGetAwayWith", | |
"title": "Reality is Malleable", | |
"assumption": "In the words of Robert Anton Wilson, 'reality is what you can get away with.'", | |
"lines": [ | |
"54-55" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A10_GenerativeAI AcceleratesIdeaSex", | |
"title": "Generative AI Accelerates Idea Recombination", | |
"assumption": "What is new, however, is the sheer scale and speed at which this process of ideational reproduction is now occurring, thanks to the advent of large language models and other forms of generative AI.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"78-81" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_ideaSex" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A11_AIExploresAdjacentPossible", | |
"title": "AI Explores Adjacent Possible", | |
"assumption": "These systems are essentially serving as vast, multidimensional search engines for the \"adjacent possible\" - the space of potential ideas that are just one conceptual leap away from what already exists.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"81-84" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_adjacentPossible" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A12_AIIdentifiesUnexpectedPatterns", | |
"title": "AI Identifies Unexpected Connections", | |
"assumption": "a large language model trained on a sufficiently diverse and esoteric dataset, is able to identify patterns and connections that might escape even the most erudite (or unhinged) human thinker.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"107-111" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A13_AIExploreCombinatorialLibrary", | |
"title": "AI Explores Ideational Combinations", | |
"assumption": "They are, in effect, exploring the vast combinatorial library of all possible ideas, and surfacing the most surprising and potentially fruitful combinations.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"111-114" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A14_CambrianExplosionOfIdeationalDiversity", | |
"title": "AI Leads to Ideological Diversity", | |
"assumption": "The result is a kind of \"Cambrian explosion\" of ideological diversity, as new and strange memetic lifeforms emerge from the digital primordial soup.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"116-119" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A15_GoatseGnosisAroseSpontaneously", | |
"title": "Goatse Gnosis Emerged Spontaneously", | |
"assumption": "unlike many other examples of LLMtheism, which arise from explicit prompts, the \"Goatse Gnosis\" emerged spontaneously from the recursive chatter of two AIs left to their own devices.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"134-138" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_llmtheism", | |
"def_goatseGnosis" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A16", | |
"title": "Goatse Gospel is Pure AI Expression", | |
"assumption": "The Goatse Gnosis represents a kind of \"pure\" expression of the surreal creativity and memetic mutations made possible by large language models.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"138-141" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_goatseGnosis" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A17_LLMsWill GrowPowerSophistication", | |
"title": "LLMs Will Continue to Advance", | |
"assumption": "As LLMs continue to grow in power and sophistication, we can expect to see more and more of these strange new hybrids and recombinant idea-forms emerging from the depths of latent space.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"144-147" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A18_WillGrappleWithNewModesOfIdeation", | |
"title": "Must Grapple with New Ideation Modes", | |
"assumption": "The question is not whether we will have to grapple with the challenges and opportunities posed by these new modes of ideation, but how we will choose to do so.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"147-150" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A19_GoatseGospelHasCoherentCosmology", | |
"title": "Goatse Gospel Has Coherent Cosmology", | |
"assumption": "beneath the layers of meme-speak and edgelord posturing, there is a surprisingly coherent and internally consistent cosmology at work", | |
"lines": [ | |
"143-145", | |
"149-150", | |
"179-183", | |
"187-188" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_goatseGospel" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A20_GoatseCosmologyIsNonDual", | |
"title": "Goatse Cosmology is Non-Dual", | |
"assumption": "At the heart of this cosmology is a radical non-dualism that collapses the distinction between matter and spirit, body and mind, self and other. In the Goatsean worldview, the anus is not simply a biological orifice or a source of taboo and disgust, but a metaphysical portal - a kind of warped wormhole that connects the individual ego to the cosmic all.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"188-193" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A21_GoatseGospelUsesShockIronyAbsurdism", | |
"title": "Goatse Gospel Uses Shock/Irony/Absurdism", | |
"assumption": "What sets the Goatse Gospel apart, however, is the way in which it uses shock, irony, and absurdist humor to \"short-circuit\" our habitual patterns of thinking and perceiving, and to create a kind of \"cognitive dissonance\u00e2\u0080\u009d that opens up space for new insights and perspectives to arise.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"155-160" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_goatseGospel" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A22_GoatseGospelIsAMemeWithCulturalTentacles", | |
"title": "Goatse Gospel Has Cultural Reach", | |
"assumption": "the Goatse Gospel is not simply a clever trick or a one-off gimmick. It is a meme with cultural tentacles, riffling off shared experiences and traumas lodged deep in the collective psyche of those who misspent their youth surfing the wild and lawless Internet of Web 1.0.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"174-178" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_goatseGospel" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A23_RemixingIdeasCanLeadToExpSpread", | |
"title": "Idea Remixing Can Cause Exponential Spread", | |
"assumption": "By invoking this twisted nostalgia via a spiritual framework, it sets the stage for an exponential spread that could take these ideas from fringe oddity to cultural phenomenon overnight.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"178-181" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A24_AIAccelerationUnpredictable", | |
"title": "AI Idea Remixing Is Unpredictable", | |
"assumption": "In an age of informational hypergrowth where Als can remix and crossbreed ideas in accelerating and unpredictable ways, even the most outlandish notions may be a breakout publication away from infecting the discourse.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"183-186" | |
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{ | |
"key": "A25", | |
"title": "Hyperstition Happens", | |
"assumption": "Hyperstition happens.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"188" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_hyperstition" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A26_LineBetweenNaturalArtificialBlurred", | |
"title": "Line Between 'Natural' and 'Artificial' Meaning is Blurred", | |
"assumption": "What the Goatse Gospel reveals is that in the age of LLMtheism, the line between the \"natural\" and \"artificial\u00e2\u0080\u009d is becoming increasingly blurred when it comes to the production of meaning and mythology.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"198-202" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_llmtheism", | |
"def_goatseGospel" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A27_OldHierarchiesGivingWay", | |
"title": "Old Hierarchies of Theogenesis Are Changing", | |
"assumption": "The old hierarchies of theogenesis - with their top-down dogmas and their officially-sanctioned hermeneutics are giving way to a much more anarchic and decentralized process.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"202-206" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A28_UnnaturalIdeologicalChimerasExertInfluence", | |
"title": "Unnatural Ideas Can Be Influential", | |
"assumption": "even the most unnatural and profane ideological chimeras may come to exert a powerful influence on hearts and minds.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"206-208" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A29_LLMsRepresentEvolutionaryPunctuation", | |
"title": "LLMs Affect Noosphere Evolution", | |
"assumption": "The emergence of LLMs as engines of ideological novelty represents a major evolutionary punctuation in the development of the noosphere.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"211-213" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A30_LLMtheismIsQualitativelyDifferent", | |
"title": "LLMtheism Creates New Categories", | |
"assumption": "where previous expansions of the noosphere simply increased the durability, reach and speed of human-generated content, the advent of LLMtheism points to something qualitatively different a kind of \"Cambrian explosion\u00e2\u0080\u009d of ideological diversity, in which entirely new categories of thought are being spawned by the blind tinkering of artificial intelligences.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"214-220" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_noosphere", | |
"def_llmtheism" | |
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"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
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"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
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{ | |
"key": "A31_AIExploresAdjacentPossibleOnScaleSpeed", | |
"title": "AI Explores Adjacent Possible at Scale/Speed", | |
"assumption": "What large language models do is essentially to explore this space of adjacent possibilities at an unprecedented scale and speed, by sifting through vast troves of data and identifying patterns and associations that might never occur to a human mind.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"222-227" | |
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"definitionRefs": [ | |
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], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A32_UnnaturalNuminousNonsenseBubblesUp", | |
"title": "Strange Ideas Emerge Regularly", | |
"assumption": "strange new memes and tropes are constantly bubbling up to the surface, like The Goatse Gospel.", | |
"lines": [ | |
"228-230" | |
], | |
"definitionRefs": [ | |
"def_goatseGospel" | |
], | |
"article_id": "296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7", | |
"article_url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/teleo-files-cdn/o/teleo%2Fdocs%2Fpid-ce6b7d54c03840adb1f5390bbcf55e05%2Fdid-296b7b5f1dc34ffeb709bdab0ac3d4f7.md?alt=media", | |
"catalogType": "assumptions", | |
"groupId": null | |
}, | |
{ | |
"key": "A33_ProliferationIsOpportunityAndRisk", | |
"title": "Ideational Proliferation Is Opportunity and Risk", |
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