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fintech evals for LLM

Pre-Release and Training-Stage Model Evaluations in Finance

This document summarizes practices and financial evaluation approaches that are applied before deployment of AI models in the financial sector. The focus is on validation during training, testing, or pre-release stages.


Key Practices & Metrics

Validation / Pre-release Activity What’s Done / Measured Why It Matters in Finance Context
Data quality & integrity checks Detect missing data, outliers, and feature consistency; stress-test slices. Financial models are very sensitive to distribution shifts; bad data leads to wrong risk/credit/fraud predictions milliman.
Back-testing / Out-of-sample performance Historical simulation; compare predictions vs. actual outcomes. Ensures models aren’t just overfitting; essential for risk and portfolio models cfa.
Cross-validation / Time-aware splits Use purged cross-validation, walk-forward testing to avoid look-ahead bias. Prevents overly optimistic results in time-series financial data wiki-pcv.
Hyperparameter tuning & model specification reviews Explore architectures, parameters, feature sets. Balances bias/variance, stability, and risk of extreme errors google-ml.
Stress testing / Scenario analysis Evaluate under adverse conditions (e.g., downturns, shocks). Core requirement for credit and market risk models milliman.
Fairness, bias, regulatory compliance checks Check group fairness, regulatory adherence. Prevents legal/regulatory exposure in lending, underwriting, etc. empowered.
Model explainability / interpretability Use explainability tools (feature attribution, local explanations). Required for auditability and trust in regulated financial contexts fiddler.
Offline metrics linked to business KPIs Validate that accuracy, AUC, precision, etc. correlate with expected business outcomes. Avoids models that look “good” technically but fail financially google-ml.
Gate / Release sign-off criteria Require thresholds across categories (edge cases, rare events, slices). Provides a governance checkpoint before production indium.
Synthetic / simulation data evaluation Generate artificial or simulated market/fraud data to test rare events. Helps evaluate resilience under tail risks jpm-synth.

Case Studies & Sector Examples

  • AI Validator roles in banks: Dedicated teams perform adversarial testing, subgroup fairness checks, and interpretability validation before release fiddler.
  • Finance Agent Benchmark: Evaluates foundation models on finance-analyst tasks (retrieval, Q&A) as a pre-use benchmark vals.
  • CFA Investment Model Validation: Professional guidance for validation in investment management (back-testing, hold-out analysis, governance) cfa.
  • Empowered Systems: Outlines validation strategies—documentation, input validation, governance—tailored to financial services empowered.
  • JP Morgan synthetic data: Uses synthetic equity market data for safe, repeatable pre-deployment model testing jpm-synth.

References

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