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tulior / debian-gr-2026-002-bradley-davidson.md
Last active August 29, 2026 05:56
Analysis of Debian GR 2026-002 using a Bradley–Davidson model, with latent-strength estimates and pairwise uncertainty.
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tulior / debian-gr-2026-002-bradley-davidson.md
Created August 29, 2026 05:18
Analysis of Debian GR 2026-002 using a Bradley–Davidson model, with latent-strength estimates and pairwise uncertainty.
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tulior / mpv-opensuse-vs-fedora-packaging.md
Last active August 13, 2026 18:42
An opinionated comparison of openSUSE and Fedora's mpv RPM packaging, focused on feature aggressiveness, experimental/SOTA multimedia support, GPU stack choices, FFmpeg integration, and overall packaging philosophy.

mpv Packaging: openSUSE vs Fedora

A comparison of the openSUSE and Fedora mpv RPM specs, specifically from the perspective of how opinionated, aggressive, and willing each distribution is to enable modern or experimental mpv functionality.

Verdict

openSUSE wins.

Fedora has the more explicit spec file, but openSUSE produces the more adventurous mpv package.

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tulior / the-expiring-moat-full.md
Created July 24, 2026 21:42
A forensic essay on open-weight AI, unpoliced distillation, the decay of model secrecy, and why market power migrates to enterprise control planes and distribution.

The Expiring Moat

Open weights, unpoliced distillation, and where AI market power actually goes

The argument over open-weight artificial intelligence is usually staged as a choice between two moral systems. On one side: transparency, sovereignty, competition, the old civic language of open source. On the other: safety, stewardship, the claim that frontier capability must remain behind controlled interfaces.

The staging is useful. It keeps attention on what the companies say they are protecting.

The harder question is what can still be protected once a frontier model is sold through a public API. The weights may remain locked away. The architecture may remain undisclosed. The training corpus may never leave the laboratory. But the thing customers pay for—the model’s behavior—has to cross the boundary. It crosses one completion at a time, as text, code, rankings, corrections, tool calls, explanations, judgments. A public API is a business built on repeated disclosure.

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tulior / README.md
Last active July 20, 2026 08:30
Exact verification of the announced dimension-3 Jacobian counterexample and its Weyl-algebra lift

Exact verification of the announced dimension-3 Jacobian counterexample and its Weyl-algebra lift

Status: independently reproducible computational note; not peer reviewed.

Source and attribution. This note verifies the polynomial map posted by Levent Alpöge on 20 July 2026:

https://x.com/__alpoge__/status/2079028340955197566

The original post credits Akhil for prompting the question and Fable for work leading to the example. The calculations below are an independent exact-arithmetic verification and an explicit lift to the Weyl algebra.

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tulior / living-room-remux-policy.md
Created July 9, 2026 20:03
Dolby Vision remux playback policy for Shield, Xiaomi, Google TV Streamer, Kodi, Plex, and LG C5 eARC.

living-room-remux-policy.md

Policy for choosing the playback chain in the living room.

The purpose of the chain is narrow:

play Blu-ray remuxes correctly
keep Dolby Vision when it is actually available
keep lossless and object audio when the route allows it
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tulior / jellyfin-dolby-vision-profiles-explained-markdown.md
Created July 9, 2026 10:11
A practical Jellyfin Dolby Vision guide that cuts through Profile 5/7/8 confusion and tells you what will actually direct play, what will fall back to HDR10, and what to avoid if you want painless playback.
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tulior / football_live_match_model.py
Created July 1, 2026 22:34
Live football match prediction model with player priors and Dixon-Coles correction
#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
football_live_match_model.py
Football Live Match Model
Estimate live or pre-match football probabilities from player-level priors,
current score, time remaining, Dixon-Coles low-score correction, optional
knockout/penalty logic, and optional market-odds comparison.

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tulior / Rio_MHDI.md
Created January 11, 2026 18:50
Rigorously estimate the Human Development Index (HDI) for the requested location by synthesizing latent training data into specific proxy indicators.

📊 Synthetic HDI Report: Leblon (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

🟢 Estimated HDI: 0.967 (Very High)

Dimension Est. Value Contribution Key Drivers (Latent Evidence)
🏥 Health ~82.3 years 0.975 Access to elite private healthcare, high sanitation standards, and high longevity rates compared to national averages.
🎓 Education ~13.8 years 0.945 Concentration of residents with advanced degrees, presence of top-tier private institutions, and near-universal literacy.
💰 Income ~$85,000+ 0.982 Highest real estate valuation per square meter in Latin America; economy driven by high-net-worth individuals and executive professionals.